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Changing Iran’s Coercive Calculus Requires More Than Massing U.S. Forces

Regardless of where the current round of escalation goes, Tehran will continue using ceasefires, front-loaded sanctions waivers, and tit-for-tat attack cycles as opportunities to reconstitute its forces until Washington imposes hard, verifiable limits on its fastest-recovering asymmetric capabilities. A week after the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding (MOU) collapsed, military hostilities …

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