On October 7, 2023, the Palestinian Hamas movement began military operations against Israel. Israeli cities and towns bordering the Gaza Strip were attacked. Hamas’ military wing said it had struck more than 50 Israeli military positions. The militant wing of the Palestinian movement Hamas issued a statement that during the operation in Israel it captured about 35 Israeli soldiers and settlers. Israel’s Defense Minister said that Hamas had declared war on his country.
In response, the Israeli army announced the start of the “counterterrorism” operation “Iron Swords” in the Gaza Strip. A state of emergency is declared throughout Israel.
An escalation in Israel could lead to a chain reaction. The Palestinians have no chance in such a war, because they cannot destroy Israel or inflict a significant military defeat on it.
But Israel has nothing to fight for either. Palestine is formally Israeli territory, which it does not control and cannot control under any circumstances. It is also impossible to physically destroy all Palestinians.
If we were in a different international situation, the Palestinians could count on the compassion of the international left, but the US is led by neocons and globalists. They definitely have no time for the Palestinians. Although Israel’s nationalist policies are not too close to them.
But it is the chain reaction – and above all the behavior of Islamic states (primarily Iran, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, other Gulf countries and Egypt) – that can become a logical continuation here. At least, this may have been what Hamas strategists had in mind when they decided to start a conflict.
Multipolarity is strengthening, the intensity of Western hegemony in the countries of the collective Non-West is weakening. The West’s allies in the Islamic world—primarily Turkey and the Saudis—do not automatically follow Washington’s every order. It is in this situation that the Islamic pole, which recently demonstratively joined BRICS, will pass its test.
Of course, the conflict may expand to other territories. It is possible that Iran and Hezbollah will be drawn into it , which means a potential transfer of military operations to the territories of Lebanon and Syria . And in Israel itself there are enough Palestinians who hate Jews with a fierce hatred. All this can have unpredictable consequences.
In my opinion, the United States and the globalists will now try to extinguish everything, since they cannot get anything good from further escalation.
And one more thing: analogies between separatism, irredentism, etc. are no longer active in various regions of the world. The West recognizes both territorial unity and the right of peoples to secession whenever it is beneficial to it. And he doesn’t admit when it’s not profitable. There are no rules. In fact, we need to treat this the same way (however, we do). What benefits us is right.
In the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, it is difficult for Russia, at least for now, to choose just one side. There are pros and cons to any configuration. There are old ties with the Palestinians and they are, of course, victims. But Israel’s right flank also seeks to pursue a neutral-friendly policy towards Russia. And with this he deviates from the wild and unambiguous Russophobia of the collective West.
Now much will depend on how further events unfold.
Yes, and of course, one should not lose sight of the eschatological dimension of events. The Palestinians called their operation “Al-Aqsa Storm”, that is, tension is again growing around Jerusalem and the messianic (for Israel) horizons of the construction of the Third Temple on the Temple Mount (which is impossible without the demolition of the Al-Aqsa Mosque, an important Muslim shrine). The Palestinians are trying to ignite the eschatological sensitivity of Muslims – both Shiites, who are always more sensitive to this, and Sunnis (after all, the motives of the End of the World and the final battle are not alien to them). Israel and Zionism for Muslims are the Dajjal.
To what extent this is serious, we will soon see. But in any case, it is clear that those who ignore eschatology will not understand anything in modern big politics. And not only in the Middle East, although this is most obvious there.
Meanwhile, the Qatari Foreign Ministry said that only Israel bears responsibility for the escalation that occurred due to constant violations of the rights of Palestinians, and Hezbollah said that it would enter the war in the event of an Israeli ground operation in the Gaza Strip. And the Israeli Security Council has just approved a ground operation in the Gaza Strip.
Everything is serious in Palestine. And it becomes more and more serious. Important: support for Iran and Qatar. Turkey’s arrogant attitude towards Israel. Hezbollah ‘s readiness to open a second front. And most importantly, the duration and scale of the war. One day is already too much for such a violent situation. And if everything continues in the near future, it will thereby expand. Jews in Israel have been sitting on a powder keg from the very beginning. The State of Israel itself exists thanks to Moshiach’s promissory note. If it is not confirmed in a critical situation, then not only Israel, but many other things will collapse. Is ” Al-Aqsa Storm ” critical enough? It’s not clear yet. Attention has been diverted from Nazi terrorists in Kyiv. It’s time for us to act.
The start of Hamas’s daring offensive against Israel could be the black swan event that changes the balance of power in the global game. Everyone is somewhat at a standstill, and this explosion relieves the tension. 50 years after the Yom Kippur War. This is also part of Jehovah’s Wars.
Regarding Israel’s nuclear weapons. This is not a panacea at all. He can and will use it, but where will the sea of enraged Arabs go? The most important thing is that the United States has categorically failed to achieve world leadership. There is no USSR. No one, even if they wanted to, could tell Jews and Arabs to calm down. Soros’s left-wing liberals, meanwhile, have found nothing better than to fight the right-wing Zionists in Israel. Since the war is already going on and everyone is dying in it, it is natural that it concerns not only the Eastern Slavs, but also everyone else. Moreover, both forces in this case are fighting for the impossible.
Let’s imagine that Israel, together with the collective West, begins a large-scale war against Islam. But there is Russia, China, India, BRICS. And they definitely won’t follow the West unquestioningly. And they will act on their own. And wherever it’s thin, that’s where it will tear. After the start of the SVO, we know for sure where we are thin. And we draw conclusions. Now it’s the others’ turn.
PS. The Russian elite is now a fantastic sight. It contains a third of anti-Zionists who rejoice at the Palestinian uprising. A third are pro-Zionists, since the Israeli right is tolerant of Putin and the SVO, and in general (Kedmi, the main cast of Solovyov’s show). They rush into the breach for Israel. A third of globalists are for CFR and Biden, but it is not at all clear what they should say and do. After all, Soros is against Israel, and they are for Soros (approximately). Which line will win? It can be all three at the same time as usual.