Eurasia

Pelosi’s Visit And The New Normal In Taiwan – Analysis

Background Businesses are rightly more concerned now over the outbreak of hostilities in the Taiwan Strait and its impact on physical security, assets/investments, and business continuity. Given the Chinese response to US Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi’s 2-3 Aug 2022 visit to Taiwan, the risk of significant business disruption …

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European Fiscal Governance: A Proposal From The IMF – Analysis

High debt and rising interest rates put a premium on improved governance to anchor fiscal policy in EU member states. Given the central role of fiscal policy in addressing both recent crises and future challenges, the call to reform fiscal governance in Europe resonates like never before.

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China Energy Profile: World’s Largest Energy Consumer To See Increase In Demand – Analysis

China is the world’s most populous country (1.4 billion people in 2020) and has a fast-growing economy. It was the largest energy consumer and producer in the world in 2020.1 We expect that China’s energy demand will continue to increase. China’s real GDP grew by 8.1% in 2021, which is …

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121 ISIS suspects arrested within a week in Syria’s al-Hol camp: Asayish

The Asayish swept more than 50 per cent of the camp and arrested 121 ISIS suspects, including 15 women. The Asayish in a press conference on Thursday said the Asayish arrested 121 suspected ISIS cells in Syria’s al-Hol camp during the seventh day of the “Security and Humanity” operation. The …

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Hamas executes five in Gaza, including two accused of spying for Israel

Hamas executed five Palestinians in Gaza, including two on charges of cooperating with Israel, the militant group announced on Sunday – the first known executions in Gaza in more than five years. In a statement, the Ministry of Interior said the two were convicted of communicating with “hostile foreign parties,” …

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Western Sahara dispute spills into Tunisia

A diplomatic crisis is brewing in the Maghreb region amid tension between Morocco and Tunisia after President Kais Saied received the leader of the Polisario Front. Tunisian President Kais Saied’s decision to receive Brahim Ghali — the leader of the Polisario Front, a rebel group fighting for independence in the …

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Is Russia’s Economy on the Brink?

Moscow’s Struggle to Sustain Its War in Ukraine In April, just weeks after he launched the invasion of Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin maintained that the West could never strangle Russia’s economy. The barrage of American and European sanctions had not succeeded and would not succeed in bringing his country …

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Two Cold Wars in a New Bipolar World

A prudent regard for the tragic, unexpected turns history can take would urge leadership in Washington, Moscow, and Beijing to weigh carefully the trajectory they are on and how seriously they want to test moving in another direction. EVEN BEFORE the Russo-Ukrainian War, confusion prevailed among those sketching where an …

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Vostok military exercises indicate that Russia is far from isolated

Despite the West’s containment strategy, Moscow is deepening its convergence with China and maintaining strong ties with India. The next iteration of Russia’s quadrennial Vostok exercise has just begun in its far east region, involving more than 50,000 troops, 140 aircraft and 60 warships. Vostok (which means “east” in Russian) …

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The War in Ukraine and the Return of Realpolitik

The return of a two-bloc world that plays by the rules of realpolitik means that the West will need to dial back its efforts to expand the liberal order, instead returning to a strategy of patient containment aimed at preserving geopolitical stability and avoiding great power war. GREAT POWER competition …

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