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Iran Update, October 2, 2024

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) has advanced into southern Lebanon along at least two axes. Geolocated imagery shows Israeli forces separately approaching Odaisseh and Maround al Ras.[1] The IDF 36th and 98th divisions participated in these advances and both have elements that fought in the Gaza Strip.[2] The Lebanese Armed …

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Who’s Faking Who? Armenia Claims Russia Was Behind Coup Attempt, But Moscow Cries ‘Fake’ News

Weeks after the Armenian government accused Russia of fomenting a rebellion, authorities in Yerevan have yet to present substantiating evidence. Citing the ongoing investigation, Armenian officials have not provided updates on the alleged coup plot beyond the broad, initial accusation made on September 18. At that time, representatives of Armenia’s …

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The EU and the South Caucasus: Geoeconomics at Play

Security concerns are reshaping the economic and foreign policy trajectories of Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia. As these nations navigate complex choices about their future paths, the EU should recognize the geostrategic importance of the South Caucasus and strengthen its ties with the region. Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has catalyzed …

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Jaish al-Adl claims responsibility for twin attacks in Iran’s Sistan and Baluchistan province

The Islamist and Baluch separatist group Jaish al-Adl claimed responsibility for two attacks on October 1 that killed six Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and Islamic Republic law enforcement personnel in Iran’s Sistan and Baluchistan province. Jaish al-Adl gunmen targeted a vehicle transporting the local IRGC commander and two IRGC …

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The War Crimes That the Military Buried

The largest known database of possible American war crimes committed in Iraq and Afghanistan shows that the military-justice system rarely punishes perpetrators. War entails unspeakable violence, much of it entirely legal. And yet some violence is so abhorrent that it falls outside the bounds of law. When the perpetrators are …

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Investigating How Conflict and War Contribute to Methane Emissions

How can reporters learn from new tools about specific causes of methane leaks in conflict-affected areas? We have examined some of the recent conflict hotspots across the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) — namely Syria, Iraq, Yemen, and Libya — to identify what the major sources of methane release …

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Time to Cut the Cord in Lebanon

Don’t pop the champagne corks yet. While there is certainly reason to cheer for the termination of the bloody terrorist leadership of Hezbollah in Lebanon, Israel’s military strikes in and around Beirut only addressed part of the problem. Israel’s approach, using airstrikes, beeper strikes, and walkie-talkie strikes, is nothing short …

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Is a “Shadow Fleet” of Oil Tankers Really Circumventing the Russian Price Cap?

With a quarter of the global tanker fleet transporting Russian cargo in 2024, the so-called “shadow fleet” is neither as separate nor as obscure as might have been thought. At the end of 2022, Ukraine’s allies established a price cap regime for Russian crude exports, aimed at limiting and controlling …

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Experts react: Hassan Nasrallah is dead. What’s next for Hezbollah, Israel, and Iran?

His end may be just the beginning. On Saturday, Hezbollah confirmed that its leader, Hassan Nasrallah, was killed in an Israeli air strike on Friday in the Beirut suburb of Dahiyeh, the site of the group’s headquarters. Nasrallah had run Hezbollah for more than thirty years, orchestrating and inspiring its …

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Letta: Europe is a ‘financial colony’ of the US

The Italian technocrat also warned that member states’ refusal to relinquish control of their domestic banking sectors risks exacerbating Europe’s financial subservience vis-à-vis the US. The United States’ ownership of European citizens’ banking data and domination of global payment systems mean that the European Union is increasingly becoming a “financial …

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