While the Islamic State (IS) remains territorially defeated in Iraq and Syria, emerging gaps in the region’s security landscape have incentivized the group to change its modus operandi. When looking quantitatively at IS operations, attack numbers have hit a historic low thus far in 2026, with two spikes in IS …
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Syria, Lebanon, and Hezbollah: Strategic Influence Without Intervention, or an Impossible Return to Tutelage?
US President Donald Trump’s recent remarks about a potential Syrian role in addressing the “Hezbollah file” in Lebanon have reopened one of the most sensitive chapters in the shared political memory of both countries. The question extends far beyond whether Damascus can—or should—intervene militarily against Hezbollah. It raises a deeper …
Read More »US airstrikes again hit Iran as Tehran strikes Bahrain and Kuwait, further imperiling interim deal
The U.S. military launched a second round of airstrikes Saturday targeting Iran at President Donald Trump’s direction as Tehran hit both Bahrain and Kuwait, underscoring rising tensions that threaten the interim deal between the two nations to stop the war. The attack on Kuwait early Sunday was the first since …
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