Yearly Archives: 2024

Who will win a post-heroic war? Neither side is prepared to fight

Neither the West not its enemies are prepared to fight. Some 30 years ago, I coined the phrase “post-heroic warfare” to acknowledge a new phenomenon: the very sharp reduction in the tolerance of war casualties. My starting point was President Clinton’s 1993 decision to abandon Somalia after 18 American soldiers …

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Bruits de guerre et logique géopolitique

Le monde est confronté au danger d’une grande guerre. Pour comprendre l’ampleur de cette menace, il faut aller au-delà des nouvelles en provenance d’Ukraine. Il faut aussi, d’une part, essayer d’apprécier de manière équilibrée le facteur variable de la volonté humaine dans la gestion des crises internationales et, d’autre part, …

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How Likely Is It That The US Replaces Zelensky In The First Half Of Next Year?

Zelensky’s only use right now is to legitimize radical policies and he’ll then be cast aside once he’s done what’s needed of him, though it’s unclear when that’ll be since everything depends on whether NATO conventionally intervenes in Ukraine. President Putin shared his view during a press conference in Hanoi …

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Why China Sat Out the Ukraine Peace Summit

Beijing’s refusal to take part does not mean it wants to keep its distance from the Ukraine war. Instead, it will look for allies in the Global South. The recent Ukraine peace summit convened by Kyiv to exert diplomatic pressure on Moscow took place without a Chinese delegation. It might …

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‘I Understand’: The Yugoslav War Refugees Helping Other Refugees

Some of the refugees from the Yugoslav wars of the 1990s have dedicated their lives to helping others who were also driven from their homes by conflict. On March 26, 1999, two days after NATO began bombing Yugoslavia, Marin Din Kajdomcaj was seized and tortured by Serb paramilitaries in his …

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Does Israel really want to open a two-front war by attacking Hezbollah in Lebanon?

Among the many sayings attributed to Winston Churchill is, “Those who fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.” This sentiment seems appropriate as Israel potentially appears ready to embark on a war against the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah in southern Lebanon. Israeli Foreign Minister Israel Katz said …

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Canada Designates IRGC as Terrorist Organization

Latest Developments Canada’s federal government designated Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) on June 19 as a terrorist organization pursuant to the Criminal Code. The move comes after years of pressure from Canada’s parliament, opposition, and Iranian diaspora, which have repeatedly highlighted the IRGC’s longstanding role in fomenting international terrorism, …

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UN inquiry concludes Israeli army is “one of the most criminal armies in the world”

An official United Nations inquiry into violations of international law by Israel in Palestine submitted its findings yesterday, accusing Israeli leaders of war crimes and crimes against humanity, including the “extermination” of Palestinians in the ongoing genocide in Gaza. Navi Pillay, the chairperson of the inquiry and former United Nations …

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Hezbollah chief threatens Cyprus, says nowhere in Israel will be spared in case of war

Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah on Wednesday warned “no place” in Israel would be spared in case of full-blown war against the Lebanese group, and threatened Cyprus if it opened its airports to Israel. “The enemy knows well that we have prepared ourselves for the worst… and that no place… will …

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Europe’s New Leadership Faces a Teamwork Test

The incoming EU leadership will have to navigate political turbulence and internal power dynamics. Working together as a real team would help in tackling the challenges ahead. Despite some last-minute bickering among party groups, the European Council, which represents the EU member states, appears on track to decide on who …

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