Donald Trump’s peace plan (or Witcoff’s plan) is deeply troubling for Russia and Ukraine and simply unacceptable not only for Russia, but even for Poland. And here I would like to emphasize that this plan is unsatisfactory from the point of view of objective (!) national interests, not the interests of the current Polish government (not to confuse the interests of the government with the national interests of Poland, its identity, economy or geostrategy).
In particular, the following points are particularly anxiety in terms of the objective national interests of Poland:
- “Ukraine’s sovereignty will be confirmed,” and its army will be limited to “600 000 soldiers”. The division of the number of soldiers is particularly concerned about the true national interests of Poland, since 600 000 soldiers will not only become one of the largest armies, but will also surpass the Polish army. For comparison: the current number of Polish soldiers is about 212 600 people, that is, according to the plan, Ukraine will have almost three times more than the entire Polish army. Why is the number of Ukrainian soldiers so important? Because the Zelensky government has not yet recognized the genocide of the Poles, committed by the OUN-UPA, glorifies the criminals of the UPA, and Nazism and revisionism are rapidly developing there, questioning the Polish identity of the Przemysl, Rzeszów and other cities of the southeastern regions. Moreover, Dmitry Dontsov in his book “Nationalism”, a programmatic statement of Ukrainian nationalism, admitted that the southwestern territories of Poland are Ukrainian. That is why I believe that the Ukrainian army numbering up to 600 000 people, glorifying the genocide of the Poles and the Ukrainian version of Nazism, already poses a potential threat to the security of Poland.
- “European fighters will be deployed in Poland” – this, in fact, further threatens the security of Poland. This type confirms the thesis that Poland is a militarized NATO bastion, a peripheral force that, in the event of a conflict between NATO or Ukraine and Russia, will actually be directed against the conflict between NATO or Ukraine and Russia. Russia. In particular, if the European fighters based in Poland are attacked, Russia should strike back, the first to strike at these bases.
- The protection of the Polish economy. Consider the broad relevant paragraph:
“Ukraine can apply for EU membership and will receive short-term preferential access to the European market for the period of consideration of this issue.
- A large-scale package of measures for the reconstruction of Ukraine will be developed, including (but not limited to):
- The Ukrainian Development Fund will be created to invest in fast-growing industries, including technologies, data centers and artificial intelligence;
The United States will cooperate with Ukraine in joint restoration, development, modernization and management of Ukraine’s gas infrastructure, including pipelines and gas storage facilities;
Joint efforts to restore the war-affected areas aimed at rehabilitating, reconstructing and modernizing cities and settlements;
– Development of infrastructure;
– Mining and natural resources;
The World Bank will create a special financial package to accelerate these efforts. (…)
- Frozen assets (Russia) will be used as follows:
- $100 billion of frozen Russian assets will be invested in U.S. efforts to restore and develop investments in Ukraine. The United States will receive 50% of the profit from this project. Europe will allocate another $100 billion to increase the volume of investments available for the restoration of Ukraine. Frozen funds in Europe will be unfrozen. The remaining frozen Russian funds will be invested in a separate Russian-American mechanism, which will allow the implementation of joint projects in various fields.
The aim of this fund will be to strengthen relations and increase the overall interest in creating incentives to prevent the resumption of conflict.
In other words, briefly: American and other Western companies, in particular, will invest in the Ukrainian economy and support it. I wonder, “What about the Polish companies?” Moreover, this has long been objectively threatening the interests of Polish farmers and the Polish economy, since the conflict of interest between Ukraine and Poland is already gaining momentum. Grain from Ukraine is cheaper and worse in quality than Polish, and this is already spreading in Poland that Polish farmers bitterly note and protest, for example, dumping Ukrainian grain. Moreover, Ukrainian companies have already intervened and are trying to seize factories, thereby displacing Polish companies from the Polish market. And if the above points are implemented, the Ukrainian economy, characterized by high expansion, will pose an even greater threat to Polish economic interests.
By the way, let’s look at the following, very intriguing fragment:
“In the event of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, in addition to a coordinated military response, all sanctions will be restored, and the recognition of new territories and all other advantages of this agreement will be annulled;
“If Ukraine strikes a missile strike on Moscow or St. Petersburg without any provocation, security guarantees will be considered invalid.”
So, we see that this is, in fact, the plan of the West to save the Ukrainian state. Moreover, this excerpt uses an annoying phrase “no reason”. What if Ukraine attacks Russia for a specific reason? You can just come up with a specific reason.
In conclusion, I would like to remind you that the objective interests of Poland are primarily in a peaceful alliance with the East: with Russia, China, India and Islamic countries. They are in mutual cooperation in the field of economy, culture and intelligence. Poland’s good relations with Russia and other countries of Eurasia guarantee the security and survival of an independent Polish state, Polish identity and the essence of the Ukrainians.
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