Russian officials continued to use threatening rhetoric as part of efforts to deter the United States from publicly authorizing Ukraine’s use of US-provided ATACMS in limited strikes against Russian and North Korean military targets in Kursk Oblast. This US authorization, if officially confirmed, would notably be a mild response to …
Read More »Iran Update, November 18, 2024
The continued looting of humanitarian aid trucks demonstrates that Hamas’ internal control remains limited and severely weakened. Armed groups looted 98 of 109 humanitarian aid trucks that entered the southern Gaza Strip via the Kerem Shalom border crossing on November 16.[1] It is unclear if these armed groups are affiliated …
Read More »Captured Documents Show Iranian Support for Hamas in the Gaza Strip
Iran has been Hamas’ primary strategic supporter since 2014, providing military equipment and training as well as financial aid amounting to hundreds of millions of dollars for the movement’s leadership and its military wing. Senior Hamas figures have also publicly thanked Tehran for providing weapons enabling attacks deep inside Israeli …
Read More »Zelenskyy’s ‘Victory Plan’ for Ukraine Makes Sense. It Has Little Chance of Being Implemented
The Ukrainian president formally presented his plan calling for ramped-up Western military firepower and economic aid and at least a promise of NATO membership to help accelerate the war’s end. The country’s supporters should heed his calls for fortifying Ukraine’s defenses. With the Russian-Ukrainian war approaching its third anniversary, many …
Read More »Russia’s Balancing Act in the Levant
Russia’s military intervention in Syria reflected a more assertive foreign policy. However, its ability to expand its influence to Lebanon and beyond has been restricted. Russia’s role in the Levant and its involvement in the region’s power politics have undergone a significant shift over the past decade, mainly because of …
Read More »A Mixed Balance Sheet: Russia’s Uneven Influence in the Maghreb
Russia’s outreach to the region has successfully exploited regimes’ frustrations with the West. Yet it has encountered difficulties in navigating the complex interrelations and rivalries. The Arab-majority states of the Maghreb—Algeria, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia—have become an increasing focus of Russian engagement and influence. Moscow is demonstrating a growing appreciation …
Read More »ISIS Redux: The Central Syria Insurgency in October 2024
ISIS carried out at least 12 confirmed attacks in October in the Homs, Hama, Raqqa, and Deir Ez Zor governorates. These attacks killed at least 20 pro-Assad regime soldiers and one civilian and wounded at least 24 others. There were also three high quality* attacks carried out during the month. …
Read More »Can the War in Gaza Be Won?
Debating Israel’s Purpose and Progress There Is No Victory in GazaNoura Erakat, Josh Paul, Charles O. Blaha, and Luigi Daniele The current war in Gaza is not an isolated conflict that began on October 7, 2023, when Hamas militants launched an attack inside Israel. Framing the war this way, as …
Read More »War and Peace in the Age of Artificial Intelligence
What It Will Mean for the World When Machines Shape Strategy and Statecraft From the recalibration of military strategy to the reconstitution of diplomacy, artificial intelligence will become a key determinant of order in the world. Immune to fear and favor, AI introduces a new possibility of objectivity in strategic …
Read More »UN NAUFRAGE SANS BOUSSOLE
L’humanité contemporaine, accrochée à son smartphone comme une tique à un chien, semble avoir sombré définitivement dans une léthargie intellectuelle et morale, un état préoccupant où elle se montre incapable de s’informer, de se responsabiliser ou, pire encore, de comprendre les conséquences du monde techno-carcéral qu’elle façonne au quotidien. Ce …
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