Eurasia

The Coming Ukrainian Insurgency

Russia’s Invasion Could Unleash Forces the Kremlin Can’t Control Russian forces have struck targets across Ukraine and seized key facilities and swaths of territory. The Ukrainian military is no match for this Russian juggernaut. Although some reports suggest Ukrainian troops have rebuffed attacks in certain parts of the country, it …

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Decoding Putin’s Speeches: The Three Ideological Lines of Russia’s Military Intervention in Ukraine

Russia’s strategic concerns regarding the post-Cold War European security architecture, as expressed in the two treaty drafts published by Moscow in December 2021, may be seen as legitimate, or at least deserving to be heard and taken seriously. The new lines of argument expressed in Vladimir Putin’s Feb. 21 and …

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SWIFT Ban Is Like Using A Cruise Missile

The Russian invasion of Ukraine has been met internationally with increasing lists of sanctions, while NATO members are increasing their (belated) military support to Kyiv. Many critics believe that current SWIFT removal threats of some Russian banks, politicians, and companies, are not enough. There are elements in some European countries …

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Azerbaijan And Russia Sign Declaration On Allied Cooperation – Analysis

On February 22, just two days before Russian tanks and missiles started crossing the Ukrainian border, President Ilham Aliyev of Azerbaijan and President Vladimir Putin of Russia signed a declaration in Moscow vowing to upgrade their bilateral relations to an allied level (Azertag, February 22). The 43-article document promotes their …

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Cold War Vs. Hot War In 2022

February 2022 will go down in human history as a large-scale Russian aggression against Ukraine. After the Second World War, there were no military actions on the territory of Europe on such a scale as is happening on the territory of Ukraine. The Russian–Ukrainian war has its own post-Soviet history. …

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Germany Boosts Defense Spending In Response To Russia’s War On Ukraine

Germany will establish a special defence fund worth €100 billion to increase the country’s military’s operational capabilities after years of neglect, Chancellor Olaf Scholz announced on Sunday (27 February), in what could be seen as a major shift in Berlin’s defence spending. This new announcement comes after Saturday’s historic shift …

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Ukraine Crisis, Global Fallout: Colossal Failure Of Diplomacy – Analysis

As Ukraine is under fire, the crisis will derail global recovery and increase the risk of stagflationary recession. Yet, the crisis was avoidable. Not so long ago, the International Monetary Fund projected global growth rate will slow to 4.4% in 2022. But as I have warned, it is overshadowed by …

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Russia And China Aren’t The Natural Allies Many Assume Them To Be

In the wake of mounting tensions between the US and Russia over Ukraine, one now finds countless media stories on the “China-Russia axis” and the “bond between Russia and China.” The ideological benefit of connecting Russia to China is undoubtedly clear to anti-Russia hawks. Russia is a relatively weak state …

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War Of Obsession: Why Putin Is Risking Russia’s Future

The main constraints on Russia’s invasion of Ukraine were never the threat of Western sanctions or intelligence-based exposure of its preparations. In retrospect, even the negotiations between Russia and the West look like theatre. The real constraints were domestic and geopolitical: Russia’s domestic stability and its place in the future …

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Biden’s Political Myopia Endangering Europe: Allow the EastMed Pipeline

Biden surprised EastMed partners by abruptly withdrawing U.S. support for the pipeline on January 9, thereby effectively killing the project, preventing a diversified supply of energy to Europe, and further assuring even greater revenues for Russia and its war machine. “The Biden Administration’s actions in this matter are particularly objectionable …

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