Eurasia

Russian Mercenaries in Great-Power Competition: Strategic Supermen or Weak Link?

Along with China, Iran, and North Korea, Russia is one of a handful of strategic competitors posing a substantial threat to U.S. strategic interests. Russia has now interfered to some extent in at least three democratic elections in the United States. Russian hackers are probably responsible for the recent SolarWinds …

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Russia Piles Up the Pressure on Ukraine

Vladimir Putin is flexing his muscles and testing Western resolve. The security situation continues to deteriorate in eastern Ukraine. Ceasefire violations spiked on Friday, with a high number of explosions. Two Ukrainian soldiers were killed. In a worrying development, Russian troops have been moved to the border with Ukraine and …

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How To Exit Bosnia – Analysis

The Schleswig-Holstein Question was a notoriously problematic territorial dispute in the nineteenth century. It involved two groups of people, each with ethnic associations with neighbours (Denmark and Germany), living in adjacent pieces of land – Schleswig (Danish) and Holstein (German). For complex historical reasons, The Duchies of Schleswig-Holstein were treated …

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Conflict Trends Update

UKRAINE Reports of a Russian military build-up along the eastern border of Ukraine and in Crimea heightened fears of escalation in the face of persistent ceasefire violations in the Donbas region and a stalled peace process. Crisis Group expert Katharine Quinn-Judge says fighting in Donbas has often surged following periods …

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Iranian Rocket Shipment Enters Syria Through Iraq

A new arms shipment of rockets has been delivered to pro-Iran militias in Syria, said sources in the region west of the Euphrates River. The shipment consisted of short and medium-range rockets. It arrived in the Deir-ez-Zor countryside from an illegal border crossing with Iraq on Monday morning. Three military …

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Turkish Intelligence Asked Syrian Mercenaries To Prepare To Fight in Ukraine

The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights revealed that the Turkish intelligence had instructed the leaders of the so-called “National Army” mercenaries to prepare for the possibility of sending them to Ukraine in the event of an escalation of tension between Russia and Ukraine. According to sources from within the mercenaries …

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Aoun Calls Assad Over Demarcating Maritime Borders

The Lebanese government has asked the Syrian government to start negotiations on demarcating the maritime borders between the two countries. This call comes after the signing of an agreement between Syria and Russia, on oil and gas exploration in the Mediterranean, in the maritime border area between Syria and Lebanon. …

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China Sanctions Intensify, Escalating Trade Risks – Analysis

Western trade and investment interests in China are facing new threats as sanctions trigger retaliation, heightening tensions over human rights, national security and territorial control. Since the start of President Joseph R. Biden’s term in office on Jan. 20, there have been several exchanges of new sanctions announced by the …

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Chinese Incursions In South China Sea Heightens Tension – Analysis

China’s increasing incursions in the contested South China Sea in defiance of global norms has heightened tensions in the region. In view of its massive military muscle and economic power that China has accumulated in the recent decades emboldens it to ignore and violate the sensitivities of other small claimants …

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Horn of Africa: A blamegame

Once again we see US and Europe on the basis of false information and misleading campaigns have a destructive influence and lacks understanding of the peace process in The Horn of Africa. For 80 years, the UN and the international community disregarded Eritrea’s rights. The peace agreement in 2018 between …

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