Eurasia

Iran Update, February 13, 2024

Key Takeaways: Southern Gaza Strip: Israel presented a proposal to move displaced Gazans in Rafah to Egyptian-built tent cities in the southwestern Gaza Strip, according to the Wall Street Journal.Negotiations: Senior Hamas official Osama Hamdan claimed on February 12 that Egyptian and Qatar mediators believe that the Hamas ceasefire proposal …

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No US troop withdrawal from Iraq or Syria, for now

Iraq sits at a geostrategically significant location in the region and having influence and presence there is very important, says former CENTCOM commander The US military has been bombing Iran-backed targets in three different Middle East countries over the last few weeks, but this hasn’t changed the calculus of Tehran …

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How To React To Iranian Provocations Without Overreacting – OpEd

On January 28, the Islamic Resistance in Iraq, an Iranian-backed group, launched a successful and lethal drone attack on Tower 22, an American military outpost in northeast Jordan. Three US service members were killed and 47 more wounded. While Iran-backed groups have been attacking US positions across the Middle East …

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In the Caucasus, Another Year of War or Peace

Armenia and Azerbaijan may be nearing a bilateral peace agreement, but the threat of violence persists. A major sticking point is the Zangezur Corridor, where Baku and Moscow may pursue a deal to the detriment of Yerevan and the West. As in Ukraine, so in the South Caucasus, 2024 will …

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Turkey-Based Organization Prepares to Send Flotilla to Gaza

Latest Developments An assembly of international organizations announced on February 10 that it seeks to break Israel’s naval blockade of Gaza by sending a flotilla of humanitarian aid. The assembly, known as the Freedom Flotilla Coalition, aims to ship thousands of tons of international aid to Gaza, according to Zahir …

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Ukraine’s drone war across Russia cuts into oil revenues

Ukraine’s long-range drone program is bringing results: large Russian oil industry facilities in the Russian Federation are under attack. UAVs are increasingly striking at enterprises that are critical for the Kremlin’s economy, causing millions of dollars in damage. The online media of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine ArmyInform analyzed …

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A changed security situation

Norway is facing a more serious threat environment now than it has in decades. As the war in Ukraine enters its third year, Russia is about to gain the military upper hand. The Russian military industry is running at full steam, and China, Belarus, Iran and North Korea are providing …

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Making Attrition Work: A Viable Theory of Victory for Ukraine

The most effective way for Ukraine to rebuild its advantage is to mount an effective defence in depth, which will reduce Ukraine’s losses and ammunition requirements. As the Russia–Ukraine war enters its third year, Ukraine faces a daunting task: how to restore its military advantage. The 2023 summer offensive, which …

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Why Iran is hard to intimidate

US soldiers are a bull’s-eye target for Iranian militias DETERRENCE IS A simple concept: using the threat of force to stop an enemy from doing something. America ought to have no trouble restraining Iran thus. The former has a globe-striding army; the latter relies on warships and fighter jets that …

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Iran Update, February 12, 2024

Key Takeaways: Russia: Ukraine’s Main Military Intelligence Directorate reported that elements of Lebanese Hezbollah and the IRGC are training Russian drone operators at the Shayrat Air Base in Syria.Northern Gaza Strip: The Palestinian Mujahideen Movement stated that it reestablished contact with its “combat units” in southwestern Gaza City.Southern Gaza Strip: …

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