Eurasia

Bulgaria ready to negotiate on Russian gas tax, angers Hungary and Serbia

The Bulgarian government will soon hold talks with its European partners about imposing a new tax on Russian gas transiting its territory, it was announced on Wednesday, a move that predictably angered Serbia and Hungary. At the end of last week, Bulgaria imposed a special ‘energy tax’ of €10/MWh on …

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The Iron Swords –
The war in the south of Israel
Updated to 1 p.m., October 16, 2023

The southern sector: Israeli Air Force attacks on Gaza City continued after at leastsome of the residents of the northern Gaza Strip had responded to the IDF’s calls to evacuate;during the past day there were more than 250 air strikes. The Palestinians reported the nightof October 15, 2023, had been …

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Gaza Has Created a Dilemma for Hezbollah

The party has spent almost two decades building up a deterrence capacity, and now may be its prisoner. Since Hamas’ attack against Israeli towns on October 7, and the ensuing Israeli bombardment and military operations in and around Gaza, Hezbollah’s response in southern Lebanon has been mostly restrained. The party …

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A Second Nakba?

In an interview, Nur Arafeh discusses the ramifications of the conflict in Gaza and what it means for Palestinians. Nur Arafeh is a fellow at the Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center, where her work focuses on the political economy of the Middle East and North Africa, business-state relations, …

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ISIS Redux: The Central Syria Insurgency in September 2023

Following is the September 2023 installment of “ISIS Redux: The Central Syria Insurgency,” a monthly chronicle of attacks by the terrorist group ISIS in central Syria. A review of developments throughout 2022 and 2021 can be found here and here. The January 2023 edition can be found here, February’s here, …

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What Israel Can Learn From America’s Counterterrorism Missteps

The Strategic Case for Adhering to the Laws of War When Hamas-led Palestinian fighters launched their deadly assault in Israel on October 7, many foreign governments rushed to support Israel. The United States was particularly fervent in declaring that Israel had a right to self-defense, and it expedited military assistance …

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What Comes After Hamas?

A Plan to Return the Gaza Strip to Palestinians and Keep Israel Safe Israel’s offensive against the Gaza Strip is ramping up. After the Palestinian terrorist group Hamas spilled out of Gaza to stage a brutal attack on Israel on October 7, the enclave is now under siege. Israel has …

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Scoop: White House has discussed U.S. military response if Hezbollah attacks Israel

The White House has been discussing the possibility of using military force if Hezbollah joins the war in Gaza and attacks Israel with its huge arsenal of rockets, three U.S. officials and one Israeli official with knowledge of the situation tell Axios. Why it matters: Lebanon-based Hezbollah joining the war …

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Israel says it wants to destroy Hamas. But who would govern Gaza after that?

In talks with Middle Eastern governments, U.S. officials are broaching the subject of Gaza’s future without Hamas in charge. Biden administration officials and lawmakers support Israel’s plans to strike hard at Hamas but they worry their ally has no clear plan for who will govern Gaza if and when the …

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Apply the logic of the Afghanistan withdrawal to Syria

Key points The logic President Biden used for removing U.S. troops from Afghanistan applies to Syria. Since a U.S. intervention should be defined by clear, achievable goals, and since long-range strikes, instead of occupying forces, can accomplish U.S. counterterrorism goals, there is no good case for keeping U.S. troops in …

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