Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Western governments implemented a suite of sanctions on Russian businesses, escalating the sanctions they implemented following Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014. The goal in both cases was to inflict enough pain on Russian elites that they would pressure Vladimir Putin to reverse …
Read More »Conflict, Migration, And Demography In Russia And Its Border Regions – Analysis
For centuries, Russian authorities have modified their approach to managing the country’s large, diverse population, held together by an ethnic Russian core. The war in Ukraine has again altered the Kremlin’s strategy of managing its complex domestic demographics. Despite the absence of a clear definition of “ethnic group,” the term …
Read More »Gulf Support For Turkey’s Erdogan Is About More Than Economics – Analysis
When jailed Turkish politician Selahattin Demirtas apologized for his pro-Kurdish party’s poor performance in recent Turkish elections, he did more than take responsibility. Mr. Demirtas implicitly questioned the notion that Turks vote primarily along ideological and identity lines rather than based on assessing which party will best further their economic …
Read More »Central Banks Can Fend Off Financial Turmoil And Still Fight Inflation – Analysis
Recent events have shown central banks and policymakers can deal with sizable financial stress without compromising their inflation-fighting stance. Regulators and central banks were able to contain contagion from the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and other US regional banks, as well as Credit Suisse in Switzerland, without retreating on …
Read More »Biden’s Foreign Policy Unnecessarily Drives China And Russia Together In Opposition – OpEd
Joe Biden had much experience in foreign policy before being elected president, but he is certainly no Richard Nixon. Although Nixon had to resign because of domestic corruption linked to the U.S. war in Southeast Asia, he was masterful in driving a wedge between the two communist great powers—Maoist China …
Read More »Russia says it thwarted attack in Donetsk
Russia’s Defense Ministry announced early Monday its forces had thwarted a large Ukrainian attack in the eastern province of Donetsk, though it’s unclear if this was the start of a Ukrainian counteroffensive. The ministry, in a rare early morning video, said its forces pushed back a “large scale” Ukrainian assault …
Read More »An Unwinnable War
Washington Needs an Endgame in Ukraine Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 was a moment of clarity for the United States and its allies. An urgent mission was before them: to assist Ukraine as it countered Russian aggression and to punish Moscow for its transgressions. While the Western response …
Read More »What Russia Got Wrong
Can Moscow Learn From Its Failures in Ukraine? Three months before Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, CIA Director William Burns and U.S. Ambassador to Russia John Sullivan met in Moscow with Nikolai Patrushev, an ultra-hawkish adviser to Russian President Vladimir Putin. Burns and Sullivan informed Patrushev that they knew of …
Read More »How The 2024 US Presidential Election Could Affect Europe – Analysis
America is changing and US foreign policy is changing with it. For most EU member states, the European alliance with the United States has long been the central feature of their foreign and security policy. But the tumult of the Trump administration and the more polite foreign policy revolution of …
Read More »«La guerre en Ukraine, c’est la guerre du dollar»
L’Éclaireur : Alors que la question se pose de la fin de la suprématie du dollar, vous dites que la guerre en Ukraine est non seulement la guerre du dollar américain mais qu’elle n’est pas la première… Oleg Nesterenko : Je vois que vous faites allusion à mon analyse sur …
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