Eurasia

Central Asian Leaders Face Key Energy Sector Choices

Several Central Asian states are attempting to realign their energy routes and usage in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and rising domestic demand. Moscow and Tehran both possess the willingness and ability to disrupt or threaten Central Asian energy export routes. China is a major market for Central Asian …

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Biden Cannot Delay Sending Tanks to Ukraine

From the outset of the conflict, Russian President Vladimir Putin has calculated that Western support for Ukraine would eventually wane. And, with the Russians reported to be preparing a new spring offensive, any sign of hesitancy by Washington in terms of supporting Ukraine will encourage Putin in the belief that …

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Along Ukraine-Belarus border, a war of nerves — and drones

The reconnaissance drones fly several times a day from Ukrainian positions deep inside the thick forest that marches across the border into Belarus, a close Russian ally, scouring sky and land for signs of trouble on the other side. Ukrainian units are monitoring the 1,000-kilometer (650-mile) frontier of marsh and …

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‘It’s a surveillance balloon,’ Pentagon says, dismissing China’s weather airship claim

The Pentagon on Friday rejected China’s claim a balloon floating above the central United States was a Chinese civilian weather research craft, though the Defense Department said the airship posed no threat to Americans on the ground. “The fact is we know that it’s a surveillance balloon,” Air Force Brig. …

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Managing Palestine’s Looming Leadership Transition

What’s new? President Mahmoud Abbas is approaching the conclusion of his tenure as leader of the Palestinian national movement. It is unclear who will succeed him, and by what process, which raises no small number of questions about the Palestinians’ political future. Why does it matter? Under Abbas’s presidency, the Palestinian Authority …

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Averting a New War between Armenia and Azerbaijan

The European Union is sending monitors to Armenia’s border with Azerbaijan, so as to lessen the danger of renewed fighting between the two countries over Nagorno-Karabakh and other issues. Brussels must give the mission the means and mandate it will need to succeed. What’s new? In January 2023, the EU announced …

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Conflict Trends Update

IRAN The government confirmed a drone attack Sunday on what it described as a defence ministry workshop in Isfahan. There were no reported injuries, and officials said the damage was minimal. In a subsequent letter to the UN Security Council, the foreign ministry pinned responsibility on Israel, whose role has …

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Biggest Gift to Iran’s Mullahs, China and Russia: Biden Administration’s Weak Leadership

Thanks to the Biden administration’s weak and vacillating leadership, Iran, Russia and China have been emboldened to levels never before seen. [T]he Biden administration has not been taking any action to deter, disincentivize or punish those who breach the sanctions. Ever since the Biden administration assumed office, in fact, Iran’s …

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Insécurité: chiffres et non-dits

Triste coïncidence de l’actualité, au moment où le ministère de l’Intérieur publie le peu reluisant bilan de l’insécurité et de la délinquance de 2022, le meurtre de la jeune Sihem fait la « Une », tragique illustration du bilan de l’(in)action du gouvernement et du législateur. Inaction ? Oui, ou …

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« Coopération à 360° avec la Libye ». Mais avec quelle Libye ?

La présidente Meloni, en visite officielle à Tripoli, a engagé l’Italie dans une « coopération à 360° avec la Libye ». Mais avec quelle Libye ? Le « Gouvernement d’Unité nationale » libyen, « internationalement reconnu », présidé par Abdul Hamid Dbeibah. Il a été « élu » en 2021 …

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