Iran

Cheikh Naim Qassem : «Nous avons entrepris une nouvelle phase, celle de faire mal à l’ennemi. Nous le tiendrons en laisse et le ramènerons au bercail»

Le vice-secrétaire général du Hezbollah cheikh Naim Qassem a prononcé ce mardi un discours qui a été retransmis par la télévision. C’est sa 3ème allocution depuis le martyre de son éminence Sayeed Hassan Nasrallah. Il a commencé son discours en s’adressant au Grand martyr Sayeed Hassan Nasrallah : «Notre espoir …

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Iran Update, October 14, 2024

Hezbollah’s October 13 drone attack targeting an IDF base is likely part of an effort to impose costs on Israel as Hezbollah faces operational challenges in southern Lebanon. Hezbollah conducted a drone attack on October 13 targeting a training camp south of Haifa for the IDF 1st Infantry Brigade that …

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What If Iran Had the Nuclear Bomb?

Policy Analysis | This paper deals with the scenario of Iran becoming a nuclear state. Many estimates indicate that Tehran is close to crossing the nuclear threshold for military purposes. This analysis investigates two views, one sees Iran’s possession of a nuclear weapon as a condition that can be tolerated, …

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Iran Shouldn’t Expect Russia to Come Riding to Its Rescue

While the prospect of a full-scale war between Iran and Israel is a worry for the Kremlin, it could also have a significant financial upside for Russia. The escalating conflict between Israel and Iran is beginning to impact Russian interests in the Middle East, as well as threaten a whole …

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US deploys combat troops to Israel as preparations mount for an attack on Iran

The US Defense Department announced Sunday that a THAAD missile defense battery manned by US soldiers is being deployed to Israel, marking the first time US “boots on the ground” are being deployed to Israel since October 7, 2023. The move comes amid statements by US officials to NBC that …

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What Are Iran’s Nuclear and Missile Capabilities?

Iran’s nuclear program and missile arsenal have garnered increased international scrutiny amid its flaring conflict with Israel. Introduction Many foreign policy experts warn that if Iran were to acquire nuclear weapons, it would be broadly destabilizing for the Middle East and nearby regions. A first-order concern is that Iran’s possession …

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Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear sites could rely on US 14-tonne ‘bunker busters’

AnalysisMilitary analysts suggest the only bomb capable of piercing Iran’s targets would be the US-made GBU-57A/B Massive Ordnance Penetrator Israel lacks the capabilities to inflict major damage on Iran’s nuclear sites alone, but an escalation of the conflict could lead to US participation in attacks on Iran, analysts believe. Israeli …

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The Potential for a Dangerous Arms Race in the Middle East

As Israel continues to prepare its response to Iran’s missile barrage, one of the target sets could include Tehran’s nuclear infrastructure, including striking weaponization facilities, fuel enrichment plants, and/or research and development laboratories.In the event of a significant strike on Iran, the Supreme Leader may opt to pursue nuclear deterrence …

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The extraordinary risk of targeting regional energy assets

For nearly a year, the ongoing regional conflict, which started as a war between Israel and Hamas, seemed to contradict the old formula long thought to be one of the few certainties in global petroleum markets: that “war + Middle East = high oil prices.” While the conflict has taken …

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Spotlight on Iran and the Shiite Axis

On October 1, 2024, the IRGC fired about 200 ballistic missiles at Israel in response to the killing of Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, and Hassan Nasrallah and a senior IRGC officer in an Israeli airstrike in Beirut. Most of the missiles were intercepted by the Israeli Air Force and air …

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