Kavkaz

Violent Flare-Up A Reminder Of Need For Long-Term Azerbaijan-Armenia Peace – OpEd

The one-year anniversary of the end of the Second Karabakh War between Armenia and Azerbaijan passed last week. After much indifference, dithering and disinterest from the international community, Russia finally brokered a November 2020 ceasefire agreement that stopped the fighting. The end result saw Baku liberating much of its land …

Read More »

Georgia and NATO: The case for a 2.0 partnership

Under the Biden administration, calls for a NATO Black Sea strategy have amplified. A gamechanger for the much-needed regional strategy is Georgia’s and Ukraine’s path to membership. NATO’s strategic reassessment, to be finalized next year at the Madrid summit in June, will likely fall short of granting Ukraine and Georgia …

Read More »

Conflict Trends Update

ARMENIA-AZERBAIJAN The deadliest fighting between Azerbaijan and Armenia since the Autumn 2020 six-week war erupted in mountainous areas of their state border on Tuesday. The clashes lasted for over three hours and killed at least nine soldiers from both sides. Russia brokered a ceasefire and proposed to discuss preventive mechanisms. …

Read More »

Karabakh’s Development Set To Transform The South Caucasus – OpEd

While no one is watching, the social and economic geography in the South Caucasus is continuing swiftly to evolve. Signal among these developments, indeed its driving force, is the rebuilding of the Karabakh region following the expulsion of occupying military forces from the Republic of Armenia, or under its direct …

Read More »

A Risky Role for Russian Peacekeepers in Nagorno-Karabakh

When Russian peacekeepers arrived in Nagorno-Karabakh as part of a ceasefire deal between Azerbaijan and Armenian, they found it empty, blanketed in a thick November fog. After 44 days of brutal war, most [people] had fled, not believing the fighting was over. A year later, the region’s main city of …

Read More »

Armenia And Turkey Lean Toward Rapprochement, But Constraints Linger – Analysis

Statements and actions indicate that Armenia and Turkey are interested in improving relations – possibly even opening their shared border, which would be a game-changer for the South Caucasus. However, Azerbaijan’s role in Turkey’s decision-making process regarding Armenia, along with outside players’ desire to protect their own interests in the …

Read More »

Erdogan asks Turkish Parliament to renew deployment to Azerbaijan

Turkey sent peacekeeping forces to Azerbaijan last year following the victory in the Nagorno-Karabakh war with Armenia. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan asked parliament today to extend Turkey’s military presence in Azerbaijan. Erdogan requested that the deployment be extended for another year so that Turkish forces can continue monitoring the …

Read More »

A Geopolitical Reshuffle In South Caucasus – Analysis

One of its most important points in the trilateral statement signed by Armenia’s prime minister Nikol Pashinyan, Azerbaijan’s president Ilham Aliyev, and Russia’s president Vladimir Putin in Moscow on 10 November 2020—which established the ceasefire and capitulation of armed forces of the Republic of Armenia in the Second Karabakh War—is …

Read More »

Fears Of Russian Influence Haunt Abkhazia – Analysis

Geopolitics informs Russian attitude toward Abkhazia. It is both of benefit and curse for Abkhazian elites who aspire to a greater level of maneuverability not only from Tbilisi, but from Moscow as well. Russian investments might be beneficial economically, but they could be also laying the groundwork for a more …

Read More »

Iran-Azerbaijan Tensions Ensnare Regional Powers

Tensions between Iran and Azerbaijan are aggravating – and at times benefitting regional powers. Iran’s policy toward Azerbaijan has domestic implications for the former, because a large percentage of the Iranian population is of Azeri origin. Iran perceives that Azerbaijan’s alliances with regional adversaries, particularly Israel, pose a significant threat …

Read More »