Middle Orient

Fake Peace, Real War, and the Road To “Plausible Genocide”

“We will destroy everything not Jewish.” —–Theodore Herzl[i] “We have no solution, you shall continue to live like dogs, and whoever wishes may leave, and we will see where this process leads . . . . You Palestinians, as a nation, don’t want us today, but we’ll change your attitude …

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The Danger of Regional War in the Middle East

Israel’s campaign in Gaza in response to Hamas’s 7 October 2023 attacks still overshadows Middle East politics, with the spectre of wider war or other regional instability ever present even as ceasefire talks appear to be making progress. Crisis Group experts offer a 360-degree view. The war in Gaza between …

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Israel’s ‘day-after’ plan for Gaza is a brutal occupation

Netanyahu is taking Israel’s war on Gaza to a final terrifying stage, promising that total victory is at hand and using 1.5 million Palestinians in Rafah as hostages. If he can’t force them out into Sinai, he wants to take over complete control of the Rafah crossing from Egypt, destroy …

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Moscow as mediator? Why Russia is hosting Palestinian unity talks

From 29 February to 2 March, there will be an intra-Palestinian meeting in Moscow under the Russian government’s auspices. Officials representing Hamas, Islamic Jihad, Fatah, and approximately ten other Palestinian factions received invitations and will participate. “Moscow’s goal is to help the various Palestinian forces agree to unite their ranks …

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Washington’s Middle East Strategy Is All Cost, No Benefit

A month after a drone attack killed three American troops at a US military outpost in Jordan’s borderlands with Syria, decisionmakers in DC are still contending with restricted policy options. The strike at the Tower 22 outpost came as instability ripped across the greater Middle East. Within days, the US …

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Alleged Israeli Airstrike in Syria Kills IRGC Officer and Hezbollah Members

Latest Developments An alleged Israeli airstrike in Syria on March 1 killed an Iranian advisor to Hezbollah and two Hezbollah members. Iranian state-run media blamed the strike on Israel and said that it killed Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Navy Col. Reza Zarei. The strike targeted a building used by …

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Palestinians Need New Leaders, Not New Governments

The sole way to “revitalize” the Palestinian Authority is to insist that it rid itself of every leader who has failed his people and who remains in power, disregarding the will and interests of the people. That is hardly likely, at least not in the foreseeable future. No one is …

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Diplomatic Flurry Fails to Quell Gradual Israel-Hezbollah Escalation

Israel and Hezbollah have continued to escalate their cross-border attacks that began after the October 7 Hamas attack on Israel, although the two sides remain short of full-scale warfare. U.S. and French diplomats are seeking to develop a formula to de-escalate the skirmishing, modeled on some of the past agreements …

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Iran’s Battles are Fought Out in Syria

Iran’s military presence in Syria enables Tehran to pressure the United States and Israel but also provides targets for military actions against Iran. Since October 7, Iran has increased its reliance on allied militia fighters deployed in Syria in order to avoid exposing senior Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) commanders …

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Hezbollah Shoots Down Israeli Drone With Surface-to-Air Missiles

Latest Developments Hezbollah targeted an Israeli Elbit Hermes 450 drone with surface-to-air missiles on February 26. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) intercepted one of the missiles with the David’s Sling air defense system, but a second missile struck and downed the Israeli drone. In response, the IDF said it carried …

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