South East Asia

Xi Jinping’s Faltering Foreign Policy

Regardless of whether Beijing had advance warning of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Chinese leader Xi Jinping’s decision to issue a statement last month outlining a “no limits” partnership with Moscow was arguably the single biggest foreign policy blunder of his nearly ten years in power. Russian President Vladimir Putin will …

Read More »

US warns Chinese on support for Russia in Ukraine war

Face to face, President Joe Biden’s national security adviser warned a top Chinese official on Monday about China’s support for Russia in the Ukrainian invasion, even as the Kremlin denied reports it had requested Chinese military equipment to use in the war. U.S. adviser Jake Sullivan and senior Chinese foreign …

Read More »

A War-Weakened Russia Has No Strategic Value to China

Scarcely more than a week ago, Chinese social media and the country’s internet were ablaze with quick takes from both prominent commentators and ordinary folks praising Russian President Vladimir Putin’s armed bid to subdue Ukraine, as well as with fervent celebrations of what many in China saw as a toothless …

Read More »

Popular Chinese Pundit Sima Nan: The West’s “Fancy Tricks” Against Russia In Ukraine May Eventually Be Used In Taiwan Against China; Foreign Volunteers Might Just Be NATO Soldiers Fighting As “Mercenaries”

On March 1, 2022, popular Chinese pundit and journalist Sima Nan published a video titled “Looking at Ukraine, Thinking about Taiwan” to the Chinese short video platform Kuaishou. In the video, he said that the “fancy tricks” being used by NATO and the West against Russia in Ukraine may be …

Read More »

A War-Weakened Russia Has No Strategic Value to China

Scarcely more than a week ago, Chinese social media and the country’s internet were ablaze with quick takes from both prominent commentators and ordinary folks praising Russian President Vladimir Putin’s armed bid to subdue Ukraine, as well as with fervent celebrations of what many in China saw as a toothless …

Read More »

China Must Choose Between Two Bad Options on Putin’s War

In recent weeks, there has been much speculation about the depth of China and Russia’s strategic alignment. Since early February, when the two sides released a joint statement during Russian President Vladimir Putin’s visit to Beijing for the opening ceremony of the Winter Olympics, the argument that Moscow and Beijing …

Read More »

The China-Russia Condominium In Kazakhstan

In early January 2022, Kazakhstan experienced its worst riots in recent history. Many observers argued that the riots could undermine Chinese interests in this resource-rich country. But the situation is far more complex. Over the past decade, China has emerged as an important economic player in Kazakhstan and Central Asia. …

Read More »

China Needs To Pop Its Property Bubble

The financial woes of the giant real estate developer Evergrande, which carries an estimated debt of $300 billion, have rekindled global fears that China’s property bubble is about to burst. Such predictions have occurred repeatedly in the past, in particular since 2010, and have been fueled by the rapid rise …

Read More »

China’s Soft Shoe on Ukraine

Hard geopolitics dominates China’s view of Russian action in Ukraine. In the West, China’s views on Ukraine have largely been seen through the lenses that people want to interpret China’s actions. Some fear Beijing will use the opportunity to do something in Taiwan, while others instead suggest that this will …

Read More »

China and Russia are proposing a new authoritarian playbook. MENA leaders are watching closely.

When President Donald Trump lost the 2020 US presidential election to democratic candidate Joe Biden, many leaders in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) saw an ominous warning that democracy may again take center stage in US foreign policy, with autocrats trying to consolidate power in their hands. However, …

Read More »