Recent Posts

If Iran’s Khamenei falls, what would replace him?

Israel increasingly appears eager to oust the clerical leadership that has ruled Iran since the 1979 Islamic revolution but is taking a gamble given the Iranian opposition is divided and there is no guarantee new rulers would be any less hardline, analysts say. By striking targets other than nuclear or …

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The Israel-Iran War Exposes Beijing’s Limited Strategic Flexibility

The outbreak of war between Israel and Iran presents a profound geopolitical test for the People’s Republic of China (PRC), exposing the structural limits of Beijing’s ambitions in the Middle East and its global strategy. Given its interests, many expected China to assume a more forceful political stance in defense …

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Israel Considering Regime Change in Iran as U.S. Weighs Its Options

The situation between Israel and Iran has developed into a rapidly escalating conflict, with both sides aggressively attacking the other and each side sustaining civilian casualties. The scope of Israeli strikes — and their precision — indicates that the situation is no longer solely about dealing with deterrence over nuclear …

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