Recent Posts

Coups in the Kremlin

What the History of Russia’s Power Struggles Says About Putin’s Future Russian President Vladimir Putin has lost touch with reality. He has declared a partial mobilization to reverse his defeats in Ukraine and, signaling his desperation, ratcheted up Russia’s nuclear saber rattling. Each day the war drags on, his country …

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The Alternate History of China

Could Beijing Have Taken a Different Path? On a visit to China in the summer of 1988, I encountered a widespread sense of drift and despair. The official inflation rate at 18.5 percent, and the actual rate was probably higher. State statistics said that 21 percent of urban workers had …

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Putin’s Next Move in Ukraine

Mobilize, Retreat, or Something in Between? For the first time in the war in Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin must contend with the serious prospect of losing it. Early setbacks around Kyiv and Chernigov had been balanced by Russian gains in the south and the east; they could be justified …

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