Recent Posts

Elective Affinities: Iran, India and China’s Responses to the Ukraine War

Iran, India and China have found themselves dragged into the crisis in Ukraine, as their wagons remain hitched to the invading power for complicated reasons. 'Sooner or later Russia will be back, and we do not know what kind of Russia that will be. It may fall subject to some …

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NATO Must Back Lithuania Against Russian Coercion

Increasing provocations from Moscow in response to Lithuania’s decision to enforce sanctions on goods transiting its territory need to be dealt with strongly by the Alliance. At last month’s summit, NATO promised to improve its military readiness in the future. But storm clouds are gathering over the Baltics right now. …

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Lebanon: Collapse, Uncertainty, Rejuvenation – or the Next Big War?

It could get much worse, and more violent, before it gets better. Lebanon has never been in a worse state outside wartime. Historically unstable by imperial design, its region is now rocked by the same waves of strategic competition, destabilisation and malign influence as the rest of the developing world. …

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