For many years now, Hezbollah has served as a major instrument of Iran to take over Lebanon, not only as a territory but as a sovereign state. Many Western countries would like to avoid that and invest in the former “Pearl of the Middle East”, led by France. These efforts …
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IntelBrief: Iran and Hezbollah Poised to Retaliate
Bottom Line Up Front Iran and its allies in the “Axis of Resistance” likely perceive recent Israeli attacks as an escalation designed to provoke a broader regional confrontation on Israel’s terms.Iran is likely to launch missiles and armed drones at Israel, aiming to cause extensive damage, in contrast to its …
Read More »Hamas Leadership and Direction Unclear After Haniyeh Assassination
Bottom Line up Front Hamas faces pivotal strategic choices as it chooses a replacement for Ismail Haniyeh, who was assassinated in Tehran last week, presumably by covert Israeli agents.Haniyeh’s successor will undoubtedly encounter friction from Hamas political and military leaders inside Gaza, as well as political competitors living outside the …
Read More »Syria Today – Iran Issues Warning on Escalation; Government Forces Clash with SDF
Today’s news round on Syria highlights the ongoing and escalating violence within the region. Syrian officials issued a stern warning to Israel over potential escalations following a deadly strike in Majdal Shams, resulting in the deaths of a dozen children and teenagers. Additionally, a truck bomb in Azaz killed 10 …
Read More »Tehran’s Strategy: Leveraging Tribal and Clan Forces to Counter Washington East of the Euphrates
The recent attacks by “Tribal and Clan” forces on areas controlled by the SDF have reignited the debate about the nature and affiliations of these forces. Critics of the Autonomous Administration view these groups as Arab forces striving to liberate their territories from PKK control, denying any ties to Iran …
Read More »Filling the Void Left by Great-Power Retrenchment: Russia, Central Asia, and the U.S. Withdrawal from Afghanistan
The U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, ending in August 2021, created favorable conditions for Russia to reassert itself as a regional hegemon in broader Central Asia. Historically, as great powers retrench from a territory, the resulting void can be filled either by rival powers or by friendly successor states responsive to …
Read More »Iran Update, August 9, 2024
CTP-ISW continues to assess that Iran and its Axis of Resistance will likely conduct a coordinated strike targeting Israel in retaliation for the death of former Hamas Political Bureau head Ismail Haniyeh on July 31. Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has continued to communicate that Iran will retaliate “forcefully” against …
Read More »Russia Declares ‘Federal-Level’ Emergency In Kursk Amid Ukrainian Incursion
Russia declared what it described as a “federal-level” emergency on August 9 in the Kursk region, the site of a four-day incursion by Ukrainian forces. The announcement came hours after a Ukrainian military strike on an airfield there. In response to the incursion, the Russian Defense Ministry said on August …
Read More »Pourquoi l’entité sioniste prend-elle le risque d’une guerre régionale ?
De toute évidence, une guerre régionale totale aboutira à l’anéantissement de l’entité sioniste et, même avec l’implication directe des États-Unis, elle reste ingagnable. Bien que l’alliance israélo-américaine ait réussi à commettre deux assassinats spectaculaires en l’espace de quelques heures et donné l’impression d’être prête pour une guerre totale, il est …
Read More »Encerclement des trop riches par tous les impôts qu’ils ne paient pas ?
Ce que nous découvrons c’est que rien ne nous sera plus jamais caché en ce domaine. «L’impôt demeure toutefois progressif pour 99,9% des foyers fiscaux». Progressif au sens si rationnel de chacun selon ses moyens, soit plus vous avez plus vous payez à l’effort commun. Vous venez donc de déduire …
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