February, 2025

• 12 February

  Iran Update, February 11, 2025

  

  We do not report in detail on war crimes because these activities are well-covered in Western media and do not directly affect the military operations we are assessing and forecasting. We utterly condemn violations of the laws of armed conflict and the Geneva Conventions and crimes against humanity even though …

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• 12 February

  Unprecedented Defense Ministry Purge Sparks Concern in Russian Elite

  

  The anxiety among the broader elite caused by the Defense Ministry purge has been intensified by the fact that newly available rent flows have been divided up among different elite groups. The biggest source of tension within the Russian elites in 2024 was the purge of the Defense Ministry. Defense …

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• 12 February

  Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 11, 2025

  

  Note: The data cut-off for this product was 1pm ET on February 11. ISW will cover subsequent reports in the February 12 Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky reiterated Ukraine’s commitment to good faith peace negotiations with Russia and the particular importance of US military assistance to Ukraine’s …

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• 12 February

  Panique dans le sud de la Syrie : Israël étend son occupation à toute la région

  

  L’armée israélienne continue de bombarder la Syrie et d’attaquer ce qui reste de l’infrastructure militaire de l’ancien gouvernement. L’armée israélienne a étendu son occupation du sud de la Syrie le 9 février, poursuivant sa campagne de destruction des infrastructures appartenant à l’ancienne Armée arabe syrienne (AAS).

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• 12 February

  Cut off one head and three others grow – Hezbollah’s Syrian Hub

  

  New information has arisen about the way in which Hezbollah’s military and criminal operations in Syria is using its terrorist organization’s financial network. The modus operandi of this network brings together three elements of Hezbollah’s activity in Syria: weapon smuggling, drug trafficking operations and financing which make use of the …

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• 10 February

  Iran Update, February 7, 2025

  

  Information Cutoff: 2:00 pm ET The Critical Threats Project (CTP) at the American Enterprise Institute and the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) publish the Iran Update, which provides insights into Iranian and Iranian-sponsored activities that undermine regional stability and threaten US forces and interests. Click here to see …

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• 10 February

  Trumpism 2.0 And Trade Tug-of-War: Hubs And Spokes In US And China In ‘Trump’s Political Mind’ – Analysis

  

  Under ‘Trumpism 2.0 Political Economy’ of the re-installed President Donald Trump, United States is experiencing a recurrence of socio-economic cycles in unprecedented stakes. After days of uncertainty, the U.S. has so far focused its tariffssolely on China, as Mexico and Canada secured a temporary exemption from the 25 percent tariffs …

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• 10 February

  Rising Tensions Could Push Iran And Trump Toward A New Deal Or Conflict – Analysis

  

  Regional Setbacks: Iran’s influence in the Middle East suffered major blows. Israel attacked its embassy in Damascus, and key allies Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas in Gaza, and the Assad regime in Syria faced defeats, weakening Iran’s “Axis of Resistance.” (Hamas, though, has regrouped, taking some of the sting out of …

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• 10 February

  Three Decades Of Baltic Military Cooperation And The Way Ahead – Analysis

  

  It is well known that the three Baltic States, Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia, are distinct yet share many similarities. They are comparable in size and have similar social, political, and economic development. They are situated in similar geostrategic positions within the same military operational theatre. For this reason, questions have …

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• 10 February

  Iran Update, February 8, 2025

  

  Information Cutoff: 2:00pm ET The Critical Threats Project (CTP) at the American Enterprise Institute and the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) publish the Iran Update, which provides insights into Iranian and Iranian-sponsored activities that undermine regional stability and threaten US forces and interests. Click here to see CTP …

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