TimeLine Layout

May, 2026

  • 11 May

    Iran Update Special Report, May 8, 2026

    Key Takeaways Iranian officials continue to frame control over the Strait of Hormuz as a key strategic interest and a critical component of long-term Iranian deterrence. Iran likely views control over the strait as essential to restoring deterrence against the United States and Israel following the degradation of its other …

    Read More »
  • 11 May

    SHIFTING POWER DYNAMICS
    IN KYRGYZSTAN

    shifting-power-dynamics-in-kyrgyzstan-042126Download

    Read More »
  • 11 May

    Russia Threatened to Halt Syrian Oil Operations if Assad Regime Didn’t Pay Debt

    Leaked meeting minutes show Russia’s deputy defense minister leaning on Syria to pay a $37-million bill for keeping oil flowing. Months after that meeting, the regime of Bashar al-Assad fell to a rebel coalition. Syria’s new government has continued to negotiate with Russia over its total debt of at least …

    Read More »
  • 11 May

    How the US-Israel war has cemented the IRGC’s grip on Iran

    Far from weakening the IRGC, the war has entrenched its power, pushing Iran towards a military-run state with clerical cover In its war against Iran, the US and Israel have heavily targeted the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), striking its command structure, intelligence networks, air and naval assets, as well …

    Read More »
  • 11 May

    Dubai economic model under strain as Iran war shakes confidence as a ‘safe haven’

    Recent missile and air strikes on the UAE during a period of ceasefire, unlike other countries, have undermined confidence in the “safe haven” model. The United Arab Emirates, in general, and Dubai in particular, are facing a critical test of their international image as an economic oasis of stability in …

    Read More »
  • 11 May

    Hamas is Humiliating Trump’s ‘Board of Peace’

    Expecting Hamas to disarm voluntarily is like expecting ISIS or Al-Qaeda to renounce jihad (holy war) and become peaceful political movements. [D]espite these repeated rejections, the “Board of Peace” continues its embarrassing efforts to negotiate with Hamas over the surrender of its weapons. The entire spectacle has become surreal. Instead …

    Read More »
  • 11 May

    The last banner of Zaynab

    My latest piece for the online magazine ‘Syria in Transition’ is reprinted below. Based on visits to the Sayyida Zaynab shrine in the Damascus area, the piece examines what the shrine’s status tells us about the general situation of Syria’s Twelver Shia minority. The last banner of ZaynabSyria’s Shia find …

    Read More »
  • 11 May

    Hezbollah’s Unit 121

    E_071_26Download

    Read More »
  • 11 May

    L’incubateur de califat

    Le terrorisme utile est armé par des mandataires. Lorsqu’il est gênant, on lui envoie des drones. Quand il cesse, il atteste du succès. Quand il resurgit, il fournit l’argument pour tout recommencer. Comment la CIA, le MI6 et le Mossad ont transformé le djihadisme en un instrument d’État. L’État islamique …

    Read More »