February, 2022

• 1 February

  Turkish-backed rebels step up attacks on Islamic State in north Syria

  

  The Turkish-backed Free Syrian Army is cracking down on the Islamic State cells, amid an uptick in suicide attacks in north Syria. The Turkish-backed Syrian opposition has waged a security campaign against Islamic State (IS) cells in Azaz in the northern Aleppo countryside since Jan. 20, leading to the arrest …

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• 1 February

  Egypt wary of Turkey’s moves in eastern Libya

  

  Ankara is expanding its influence in eastern Libya, deemed an area of Egyptian ​​influence. Following months of conflict and accusations between the two parties, the relationship between Turkey and the Khalifa Hifter-led Libyan National Army (LNA) has seen a relative thaw. On Jan. 20, Turkey’s Ambassador to Tripoli Kenan Yilmaz …

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• 1 February

  Can Biden Unwind Trump’s ‘Maximum Pressure’ on Venezuela and Iran?

  

  When President-elect Joe Biden takes office on Jan. 20, he will inherit two types of problems from his predecessor. The first will involve repairing the damage President Donald Trump created through neglect: the alliances, partnerships, multilateral organizations and U.S. government institutions to which Trump paid too little attention the past …

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• 1 February

  The Nuclear Deal’s Fate Lies in Politics—in the U.S. and Iran

  

  In the four decades since Iran’s Islamic Revolution, relations between Tehran and Washington have seen deep enmity offset by brief periods of rapprochement and tactical cooperation. As a new U.S. administration settles into office and asserts its intent to, in President Joe Biden’s words, “offer Tehran a credible path back …

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• 1 February

  The Taliban’s Comeback Is a Conundrum for Iran

  

  No one in the Iranian government was sad to see U.S. and NATO troops leave Afghanistan. In fact, Tehran would prefer to have the Taliban next-door than often-hostile Western powers. But Shiite-majority Iran has also been a target of attacks in the past from the Sunni Islamist Taliban, and it …

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• 1 February

  Houthi Attacks Could Derail UAE-Iran Diplomacy

  

  A series of deadly explosions in Abu Dhabi, the normally placid capital of the United Arab Emirates, has created a strategic quandary for the UAE government. Its leaders are in the midst of a major diplomatic reinvention, seeking to develop good relations with all of their regional neighbors, including, notably, …

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• 1 February

  There is no NATO open-door policy

  

  In the current crisis involving Russia, Ukraine and Western countries, it is often asserted that because the NATO alliance has an “open-door” policy, Ukraine must retain its right to join the alliance someday. That is incorrect. While Russia should not be allowed to veto Ukraine’s hypothetical membership in NATO, there …

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• 1 February

  Parsing the Evidence: Will Russia Invade Ukraine?

  

  This week, with Washington rejecting two of Moscow’s three key security demands, Russian military equipment massing near the border with Ukraine and NATO “prepared for the worst,” the question dominating global affairs remains: Will Russia invade Ukraine? The White House answer is a qualified yes, the Kremlin’s a qualified no. …

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• 1 February

  US military drills with Pacific allies send a message to China, expert says

  

  Military exercises between the United States and its allies in the Western Pacific, both ongoing and upcoming, send a message to China not to pull a “stunt” to distract people at home, according to a New Zealand-based American security expert. The U.S. Air Force is about to launch Cope North, …

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• 1 February

  Russia, US exchange accusations over Ukraine at UN

  

  Russia accused the West on Monday of “whipping up tensions” over Ukraine and said the U.S. had brought “pure Nazis” to power in Kyiv as the U.N. Security Council held a stormy and bellicose debate on Moscow’s troop buildup near its southern neighbor. U.S. Ambassador Linda Thomas-Greenfield shot back that …

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