October, 2026

• 9 October

  The New Red Sea Wars: Conflicts in the Middle East and the Horn of Africa Have Become Inseparable

  

  On June 3, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio told the U.S. Congress that the fighting that had raged for three years in Sudan was now a “proxy war” and blamed Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) for frustrating American efforts to bring the conflict to an end. …

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• 9 October

  The Myth of Military Victory

  

  Military victory is an alluring idea. A short, violent campaign that defeats the enemy promises payoffs at a tolerable price. The Trump administration expected such an outcome in Iran in February 2026. The Netanyahu government sought it in Gaza in October 2023, then in Lebanon and Iran. Russian President Vladimir …

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• 9 October

  Spotlight on Terrorism:
  Hezbollah and Lebanon

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• 9 October

  Russia’s military recruitment networks exploit Western tech platforms

  African countries face an uphill battle in holding digital companies accountable for the use of their platforms in Russia’s war effort. An investigation into the war being waged by Russia in Ukraine has found that Western digital resources are being used to dupe African and other nationals into joining a …

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• 6 October

  More attacks, higher costs, so how are oil exports up too?

  

  Gulf oil exports are nearing pre-war levels despite intensifying attacks on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, revealing a parallel between the flow of crude and the mounting cost and risk of shipping it, analysts have told AGBI. Oil prices remain elevated, but Gulf exporters prioritise keeping crude flowing and …

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• 6 October

  Loyalty vs combat readiness. How Hegseth’s policy became a major issue for the U.S. Army

  

  The Pentagon’s purges have not waned over the past months, despite the “strange war” that Donald Trump is waging with Iran. Military Minister Pete Hegseth dismissed some generals without warning, others blocked promotion. In parallel, he used the Pentagon’s civil leadership institute to impose Donald Trump’s political and cultural agenda …

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• 6 October

  Les Houthis percent les défenses entre Taïz et Aden, coupant une route vitale

  

  Le 4 octobre, les Houthis (Ansar Allah) du Yémen ont coupé une route vitale reliant la ville de Taïz, contrôlée par le gouvernement, à Aden, resserrant ainsi leur encerclement de l’un des centres de population les plus importants du pays, tandis que le président Rashad al-Alimi a ordonné une importante …

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• 6 October

  Can Baghdad ever bring Iraq’s militias under state control?

  Analysis: With US forces leaving Iraq, Baghdad faces a difficult choice between confronting powerful Iran-backed militias and absorbing them into the state A relative pause in fighting between the United States and Iran that ended in early September has brought the region back into a state of geopolitical tension. As …

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• 6 October

  Turkey weighs military support for Saudi Arabia under Mecca defence pact

  

  Turkey is weighing military support for Saudi Arabia as Ankara, Riyadh and Islamabad move to deepen cooperation under the Mecca defence pact. Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan are set to hold high-level defence talks in Riyadh on Monday as Ankara signals its readiness to support the kingdom against continued Houthi …

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• 6 October

  Trump must close this Turkish loophole that allows Iran to skirt sanctions

  Washington has done well targeting Tehran’s shipping, banking and financial networks. The regime is increasingly being pushed onto costlier land routes. But some countries are leaving one major artery relatively open to Iran: the sky. Turkey is among the worst offenders; Washington needs to rein it in. After Iran reopened …

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