Key Takeaways:Belarus has shifted from a relatively stable buffer and Russian rear base into a forward-operating platform for Moscow—hosting missiles, joint exercises, logistics, and hybrid pressure on Poland, Lithuania, and Latvia—raising direct security risks for the EU’s eastern flank.Broad EU sanctions and isolation have deepened Minsk’s dependence on Russia without …

Hamas leader Khalil al-Hayya warned that escalating Israeli attacks threaten Gaza’s ceasefire, urging mediators and guarantors to intervene immediately. Key TakeawaysHamas political bureau chief Khalil al-Hayya warned that Israel’s escalating attacks could lead to the collapse of the Gaza ceasefire agreement.At least 17 Palestinians were killed in three Israeli strikes …

Israel’s conduct in Syria since the fall of Assad is commonly described as a “strategy,” or at least a “policy.” It is neither. It is a disorganised product of several impulses, some of them in tension with one another: the trauma of October 7th, a near-total ignorance about the group …