Tehran seems just as enthusiastic about the new prime minister as Washington—a telling sign that the militia-dominated status quo in Baghdad will be difficult and slow to change, if it changes at all. On May 14, U.S. special envoy Tom Barrack congratulated Iraq’s new prime minister Ali al-Zaidi on the …
Read More »Iraq at a crossroads over militias, as senior commander is killed in car bombing – analysis
A senior commander from Ansar Allah al-Awfiya, an Iran-aligned Iraqi armed faction, was killed and his aide seriously wounded on Thursday when an explosive device detonated in their vehicle. Iraq finds itself at a new crossroads. Will it rein in Iranian-backed militias, or let them continue to hollow out the …
Read More »Diplomacy on the Brink of a Foul: How the U.S. Ambassador’s Rhetoric in Lebanon Is Provoking a Crisis
In diplomatic practice, there is an unwritten but strict rule: the weaker a state is economically and politically, the more delicate the tone of any external player must be if they genuinely want reforms—not chaos. Lebanon today is a classic “fragile sovereignty.” After the 2020 Beirut port explosion, the subsequent …
Read More »Can Syria Be Friends with Both Europe and Russia?
As European officials moved to normalize relations with Damascus and ease years of sanctions on Syria this week, Russian cargo ships continued docking at Syrian ports carrying the oil and military support that still help keep the Syrian state afloat. The contradiction has become the defining feature of Syrian President …
Read More »How the US-Israel-Iran War Is Redrawing World Politics
The Iran war has reshaped global geopolitics by weakening U.S. credibility and the liberal world order, intensifying regional instability in the Middle East, disrupting energy markets and economies, and accelerating the shift of global power toward emerging alliances led by Russia and China. Global Disruption and the Shifting World OrderThe …
Read More »Tyre is Now the Epicenter of Israel’s Assault on Lebanon
“It was the worst night since the start of the war, and this has been the worst war we have seen.” When the Israeli military repeated its displacement order for the entire city of Tyre (Sour) in southern Lebanon at 4 p.m. on Wednesday, Ali Sleiman decided to head to …
Read More »Israel’s Secret Bases in Iraq: A New Phase of Shadow Warfare in the Middle East
The revelation that Israel established secret military bases inside Iraq during the recent war against Iran is far more than another episode in the region’s long history of covert operations. It signals a deeper transformation in Middle Eastern geopolitics: the normalization of clandestine cross-border military infrastructures, the erosion of Iraqi …
Read More »Syria Sees Casualties in Eid al-Adha Security Incidents
Several Syrian areas witnessed separate incidents during the days that coincided with the Eid al-Adha holiday, including shootings and clashes that left people dead and wounded in more than one governorate. In Hama countryside (western Syria), two civilians were killed and four others wounded in a shooting that targeted people …
Read More »L’Alliance du Golfe avec Washington est un pacte à sens unique
De même que l’Europe des va-t’en guerre, les pétro-monarchies du Golfe paient le prix de la délégation de leur défense et de leur sécurité à Washington, leur ennemi déguisé en sauveur. En réalité, si les États du Golfe ne rompent pas structurellement avec la logique actuelle, la prochaine crise régionale …
Read More »Les Houthis, le troisième pilier (oublié) de l’Iran dans la guerre au Moyen-Orient
Le mouvement Ansarallah contrôle depuis dix ans une partie importante du Yémen, parvenant à contrer une coalition régionale menée par l’Arabie saoudite et plaçant sous son autorité d’importantes routes maritimes nécessaires au bon fonctionnement de l’économie mondiale. Malgré le fait qu’il s’agisse d’un troisième pilier majeur (géopolitiquement parlant) du régime …
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