Middle Orient

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Key Takeaways: World leaders begin the 81st UN General Assembly debate this week as António Guterres urges action on overlapping wars, climate, technology, and inequality and a successor race begins before he leaves Dec. 31; Richard Gowan of Crisis Group says the UN is no longer in “free fall” but …

Tehran will likely double down on missiles and drones—its most effective weapons during recent conflicts—creating path dependencies that could become critical vulnerabilities if U.S. and partner countermeasures improve further. In two wars waged over the past year and a half, the United States and Israel have inflicted massive damage on …

Key Takeaways: The author rejects “why Arabs can never be democratic” as Orientalist essentialism (Said). Ask instead which institutions, rents, and power balances have so far blocked transitions—without treating 22 unlike states as one culture. Bellin and Sadiki are used to put discourse and coercive institutions ahead of an “Arab …

Alors même que les Américains commémorent la douleur des attentats du 11 septembre, au même moment, les Houthis du Yémen, sous la coordination le long de l’«axe de la résistance», mettent sous contrôle absolu, le détroit de Bab el-Mandeb et l’ensemble de la côte yéménite de la mer Rouge. Le …

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L’avancée des Houthis vers Bab el-Mandeb transforme le Yémen d’un champ de bataille périphérique en l’un des fronts les plus conséquents de la guerre américano-iranienne. Au cours des sept derniers mois de cette année, la guerre des États-Unis contre l’Iran s’était concentrée sur le golfe Persique et la capacité de …

Donald Trump ne veut pas tuer des millions de civils iraniens. Mais Trump a un pistolet sur la tempe et le temps presse. La réserve stratégique de pétrole devient dangereusement basse, les taux d’intérêt à long terme augmentent et un choc pétrolier mondial approche à grands pas. Que va faire …

Key Takeaways The Houthis are pursuing diplomatic efforts that are likely intended to prevent the United States or its partners from supporting or joining the Saudi offensive campaign against the Houthis by claiming that the group currently has no intention to target international shipping. Allowing the Houthis to consolidate their …

Key Takeaways: After talks with Mahmoud Abbas in Cairo, Abdel Fattah El-Sisi again rejected displacing Palestinians and urged full implementation of the 10 October Gaza ceasefire: stop escalation, let aid in, start recovery. Egypt helped broker that 2025 deal with Qatar, Turkey, and the U.S.; it has stalled over Hamas …