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Trump tergiverse pour trouver une faille exploitable dans la position ferme de l’Iran

«L’establishment politique et sécuritaire israélien», écrit Anna Barsky dans Ma’ariv, «surveille de près la situation dynamique dans l’arène américano-iranienne. Cependant, il n’y a pas de consensus … sur la direction dans laquelle Trump se dirige ; ni [même] si les États-Unis sont proches d’une décision – et si oui, quelle …

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États-Unis-Iran : leçons d’une guerre impossible

Lecture géostratégique et enseignements importants pour l’AES.I. La démonstration de force américaine : puissance affichée, vulnérabilités réelles Les États-Unis peuvent déployer une force écrasante (porte-avion, bombardiers B‑2, chasseurs F‑35/F‑22, milliers de soldats). Mais la puissance ne garantit ni la victoire stratégique ni la destruction d’un État préparé. Une armada impressionne …

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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 4, 2026

Toplines US, Ukrainian, and Russian delegations continued trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates (UAE) on February 4. Ukrainian National Security and Defense Council Secretary Rustem Umerov stated on February 4 that the trilateral talks were “meaningful and productive” and that the parties continued to work in separate groups …

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Iran Update, February 4, 2026

Toplines Iran and the United States are expected to hold talks in Oman on February 6, despite the brief cancellation of the meeting on February 4.[1] Iran continues to show inflexibility toward addressing US demands, which reduces the likelihood that Iran and the United States will be able to reach …

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Unifying Syria Without Reigniting War

Full Kurdish integration in Syria is one of the most important projects in the Middle East, but Washington must ensure it is accomplished without further violence, and without blowing the activities of various foreign players out of proportion. Following Hamas’ attack on Israel on 7 October 2023, Syria has become …

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The End of the Middle East’s Oil Bonanza

The Middle East has finally arrived at the grim reckoning long barreling toward it: a ruinous collapse of oil revenues that renders government deficits utterly unsustainable. Among the wealthy Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states, four are running persistent annual budget deficits that are eroding their sovereign wealth reserves and plunging …

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