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The Eurasian Nightmare

Chinese-Russian Convergence and the Future of American Order The greatest strategic problem the United States faces is the convergence of its two main rivals, China and Russia—countries that don’t always like or trust each other but nonetheless derive great benefits from their simultaneous assaults on the existing international order. And …

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The Coming Ukrainian Insurgency

Russia’s Invasion Could Unleash Forces the Kremlin Can’t Control Russian forces have struck targets across Ukraine and seized key facilities and swaths of territory. The Ukrainian military is no match for this Russian juggernaut. Although some reports suggest Ukrainian troops have rebuffed attacks in certain parts of the country, it …

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The Plot to Destroy Ukraine

This Special Report seeks to outline what Russia is trying to achieve in Ukraine, and how it is operationalising that intent through the synchronised application of state power. The spectre of war looms over Europe. As Russian troops mass around Ukraine’s borders there is a palpable sense of crisis. In …

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Russia Takes Another Bite at Ukraine

As Vladimir Putin moves his troops into eastern Ukraine, the signs are that worse is yet to come. World governments have condemned the move of Russian President Vladimir Putin to recognise the ‘independence’ of two Moscow-backed self-proclaimed enclaves in Ukraine. Yet the challenge of responding adequately to Russia’s defiance of …

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Ukraine and Intelligence Prebuttal: A Quick Post-Mortem

While Western intelligence assessments were largely proven correct they are not a substitute for strategy itself. In a pre-dawn television statement, President Vladimir Putin announced a ‘special military operation’, beginning the long-anticipated invasion of Ukraine. This escalation comes at the end of months of conventional military build-up on Ukraine’s border, …

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A Sombre Hour for Europe

The main immediate goal for the Ukrainian resistance will be to survive. If it can do so, and keep inflicting damage on the occupiers, then Vladimir Putin’s gamble will be on course to fail. A new Iron Curtain across the heart of Europe now seems inevitable. Where that curtain is …

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Ukraine Through Russia’s Eyes

The Kremlin’s pre-invasion research suggested Ukraine was fertile ground for subversion, but the shock of war may transform Ukrainians’ willingness to resist in unpredictable ways. While the Russian military is capable of defeating the Ukrainian armed forces, the prospect of occupying a hostile country constitutes a major gamble for Moscow. …

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Anti-Liberal Russian Philosopher Dugin: It Is Not Just About ‘Restoring The Territorial Integrity’ Of The Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) And Luhansk People’s Republic (LPR), It Is About ‘Ukraine’s Liberation’

On February 24, 2022, anti-liberal philosopher Alexander Dugin, in an article titled “It’s All About Ukraine’s Liberation,” stated that Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine is not only to restore the “territorial integrity” of the Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) and the Luhansk People’s Republic (LPR),[1] but is about the “liberation” of …

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The smell of the revolution: The prospects for reform under the next Iraqi government

In mid-March 2017, roughly five years ago, Iraq was in a very different place. It was before the popular protests that began in October 2019, before the liberation of Mosul and many other Iraqi cities from ISIS control, and before Massoud Barzani announced his referendum to separate the Kurdistan region. …

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Qatar and global LNG: Potential pivot from Asia to Europe?

For several decades, Qatar was the leading exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to world markets, primarily in Asia. The Qataris pioneered the high-volume, low-cost, long-term tram line delivery model to creditworthy Asian clients. Qatar is currently one of the world’s top LNG exporters, exporting approximately 77.1 million tons per …

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