Islamic State Khorasan (ISK) emerged in 2015 as an official affiliate of the Islamic State in the Afghanistan-Pakistan region, rapidly interweaving its jihad into the web of local conflicts and grievances. Alongside drawing its initial recruits from disaffected members of the Pakistani and Afghan Taliban, as well as former al-Qa`ida …
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Between Russia and the EU: Europe’s Arc of Instability
Armenia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Georgia, Moldova, and Serbia are caught in between Russia and the EU, building ties with the latter even as the former seeks to maintain influence there and deter the West. Introduction The war in Ukraine has left a group of “in-between” European countries more vulnerable and …
Read More »Confronting Another Axis? History, Humility, and Wishful Thinking
Drawing on his extensive experience as a historian and diplomat, Philip Zelikow warns that the United States faces an exceptionally volatile time in global politics and that the period of maximum danger might be in the next one to three years. He highlights lessons from the anti-American partnerships developed by …
Read More »Rethinking U.S. Africa Policy Amid Changing Geopolitical Realities
Since 2020, Africa has seen more political unrest, violent extremism, and democratic reversals than any other region in the world. A wave of coups has washed across the Sahel and West Africa, leaving authoritarians in power in numerous countries. In addition, the continent has served as a stage for the …
Read More »Ukraine’s Perilous Path to EU Membership
How to Expand Europe Without Destabilizing It Faced with the threat posed by Russia after its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the European Union has launched a new enlargement process that is more ambitious and complex than any it has ever undertaken. Ukraine is the most prominent of the new candidate …
Read More »What Does America Want From China?
Debating Washington’s Strategy—and the Endgame of Competition The Biden PlanRush Doshi In “No Substitute for Victory” (May/June 2024), Matt Pottinger and Mike Gallagher raise important concerns about the Biden administration’s China policy. But their analysis misses the mark. Their review of key episodes in the administration’s China policy is inaccurate, …
Read More »Turkey’s Dwindling International Role
Multiple crises have taken the international spotlight off Turkey. This, combined with Ankara’s contradictory foreign policy ambitions and rule-of-law deficiencies, limits the country’s global clout. This month marks the first year of Turkey’s current five-year legislature. When Recep Tayyip Erdoğan was elected for his third presidential mandate with 52 percent …
Read More »Polarization Threatens to Derail Bosnia’s EU Ambitions
The opening of EU accession talks marks an important milestone for Bosnia, where ethnic tensions run high. But progress on the EU track is no remedy for the chronic crisis besetting the country’s politics. Bosnia finally has some good news. On March 21, the European Council gave the country the …
Read More »Europe’s Inability to Manage Instability
Turbulent developments in Europe and beyond are eroding the premises upon which the EU was established. European governments must respond strategically to protect democracy. It has been a tumultuous few weeks inside the EU and beyond. The Slovak prime minister survived an assassination attempt. A far-right-wing coalition is poised to …
Read More »The End of the Near Abroad
Putin’s war on Ukraine marks the end of the near abroad—the idea that Russia enjoys a special status in much of the post-Soviet space. But while Russia’s neighbors are seeking greater independence, they are not necessarily turning West. By November 2022, nine months into Russia’s war of aggression in Ukraine, …
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