L’illusion d’une «victoire éclair» s’évanouit… Trump implore le monde de sauver Ormuz, Israël tombe dans le «piège du Hezbollah» et s’expose à une invasion terrestre désastreuse. Aux premières heures du seizième jour, l’ampleur de l’impasse stratégique dans laquelle se trouve l’alliance américano-israélienne est mise à nu. Après deux semaines de …
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L’empire frappe. La civilisation encaisse. Et le monde bascule
Combien coûte un missile d’interception ? Plusieurs millions. Combien coûte le drone qui le provoque ? Quelques dizaines de milliers. Cette équation asymétrique est en train de redessiner la géopolitique mondiale. Alors que l’Occident s’épuise sur deux fronts, l’Iran déploie une stratégie plus ancienne, plus patiente : toucher aux flux, …
Read More »Why Iran denies launching attacks on Turkey
Nato has shot down three ballistic missiles heading to the country during the war Amid the regional fallout of the Iran-US-Israel war, Tehran has not denied launching missiles and drones at Gulf countries, where, it claims, it is attacking US-linked assets. But when it comes to Turkey, it is a …
Read More »Iran Update Special Report, March 16, 2026
The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and The Critical Threats Project (CTP) at the American Enterprise Institute are publishing daily updates to provide analysis on the war with Iran. The updates focus on US and Israeli strikes on Iran and Iran and the Axis of Resistance’s response to …
Read More »Gulf’s transit model thrown up in the air by Iran conflict
The Gulf’s role as one of the world’s most important aviation crossroads is being tested as conflict with Iran disrupts airspace across the Middle East, forcing airlines to redraw the flight paths that connect Europe, Asia and Australasia. Airspace restrictions have narrowed the corridors available to commercial aviation, pushing airlines …
Read More »Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, March 16, 2026
Toplines Continued Ukrainian advances in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast are likely constraining Russian offensive operations in the Oleksandrivka direction and may soon threaten Russian offensive operations in the Hulyaipole direction. Ukrainian forces have reportedly liberated more than 400 square kilometers in the Oleksandrivka and Hulyaipole directions from late January 2026 to about …
Read More »Paralysie israélienne & “nouveau Vietnam” américain ?
Rapport stratégique et opérationnel actualisé (lundi 16 mars 2026 | Fin du 17e jour) En cette fin de dix-septième journée d’affrontements, la situation prend un tournant extrêmement critique. Israël, incapable d’arrêter les tirs de roquettes, ouvre officiellement les vannes d’un “enfer terrestre” dans le sud du Liban, avec un discours …
Read More »Letter from Munich: Militarism in a Post-American World
On the sidelines of the Munich Security Conference, anxiety over a world in crisis. Over the weekend of Valentine’s Day, the United States was marching toward war with Iran and grappling with a partial government shutdown that impacted the Department of Homeland Security. Meanwhile, the Trump administration was making light …
Read More »Defeating Iran’s Strategy: Energy Security and the “Abraham Shield”
Tehran is targeting the soft underbelly of the U.S.-Israeli campaign—the oil sector and vulnerable Middle Eastern states—but allied officials can counter this strategy by taking concerted steps to bolster their regional partners, stabilize oil markets, and suppress the regime’s military capabilities. Two strategies are currently competing in the Iran war. …
Read More »Hezbollah’s Use of Force During the Current Fighting Against Israel
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