Eurasia

Iran Update Special Report, June 20, 2025, Evening Edition

Information Cutoff: 5:00 PM ET The Critical Threats Project (CTP) at the American Enterprise Institute and the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) are publishing multiple updates daily to provide analysis on the war with Iran. The morning update will focus on the exchange of fire between Iran and …

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Spotlight on Iran and the Shiite Axis

On June 13, 2025, Israel launched a preemptive attack in Iran, which includes attacks againstdozens of military and security targets, government targets, and nuclear facilities. SeniorIranian regime officials accuse Israel of committing “crimes” and continue to threaten thatIsrael will continue to pay a “heavy price” for its ongoing attacks. Before …

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‘We really are in a perfect storm’

At an event on the sidelines of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov made a telling remark. In his words, the country’s federal budget, which has posted a deficit in the first part of the year, is weathering “serious turbulence.” The comment came in response …

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An economic reality check

The St. Petersburg International Economic Forum is known for the noise it generates in the news media, but SPIEF also hosts some substantive discussions. This year, one of the forum’s most consequential exchanges was between high-ranking officials and state bankers about Russia’s risk of recession. The first to raise the …

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As Israel and Iran trade blows, Hezbollah stays on the sidelines

Hezbollah’s strategic restraint amid escalating Iran-Israel hostilities marks a significant shift in the region’s balance of deterrence. Once seen as Tehran’s most loyal and responsive proxy, its decision to hold back, even after the assassination of its leader and heavy blows to its infrastructure over the past 18 months, signals …

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How will Yemen’s Houthis respond to Israel’s war against Iran?

On 15 June, Houthi spokesperson Yahya Saree claimed that the Yemeni group had struck Israel with “hypersonic ballistic missiles” in coordination with the Iranian military. Saree boasted that the Houthi operations against “sensitive Israeli targets” in Jaffa had “successfully achieved their objectives”. While Saree’s bombastic claims about the efficacy of …

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Here’s what could happen next in the Iran-Israel war

On 12 June, Israel launched ‘Operation Rising Lion’, attacking Iran’s main enrichment facility in Natanz and parts of the Iranian ballistic missile program, and killing several Iranian nuclear scientists. In the aftermath of the attack, which killed over 200 Iranian civilians, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu issued an English-language address …

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Why Western sanctions on Israel are a face-saving manoeuvre

The recent sanctions imposed by the UK and its allies on Israeli ministers Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich were heralded in some quarters as a long-overdue moral stance against rising extremism within Israel’s leadership. Yet beneath the surface of this headline-grabbing gesture lies a far more calculated and cynical strategy …

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Big Brother Fears Over Chinese Security Software In Bosnia’s Republika Srpska – Analysis

Concern is growing over a cyber-security software deal between the Republika Srpska entity in Bosnia and Herzegovina and China’s ELINC, owned by a conglomerate sanctioned by the United States over alleged ties to China’s ‘military-industrial complex’. Bypassing regular public procurement procedures, the pro-Russian government of predominantly Serb-populated Republika Srpska signed …

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How Can Serbia Overcome The Current Situation? – Analysis

The Republic of Serbia is undergoing a turbulent phase in its socio-political development. The collapse of the canopy at the Novi Sad railway station on 1 November 2024 marked the beginning of a wave of student protests and the blockade of higher education institutions across the country. Classes have been …

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