Latest Developments • Turkey Calls for Halting Weapons Shipments to Israel: Turkey submitted a letter — cosigned by 52 countries, among them Russia, China, Iran and Saudi Arabia — to the United Nations calling for a complete arms embargo on Israel on November 3. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has …
Read More »Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 4, 2024
Russian and pro-Kremlin actors launched an information operation on November 4 to discredit incumbent Moldovan President Maia Sandu’s victory in the Moldovan presidential elections. The Moldovan Central Election Commission (CEC) confirmed on November 4 that Sandu won 55.35 percent of the vote, defeating Kremlin-friendly opponent Alexandr Stoianoglo.[1] Numerous world leaders …
Read More »Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 3, 2024
Incumbent Moldova President Maia Sandu has claimed victory in the Moldovan presidential runoff election held on November 3, 2024.[1] Preliminary results reported by the Moldovan Central Election Commission (CEC) show that Maia Sandu has won around 55 percent of the vote, defeating Kremlin-friendly presidential candidate Alexandr Stoianoglo.[2] The Moldovan CEC …
Read More »Iran Update, November 3, 2024
The Israeli Defense Minister emphasized that Iran is “pouring everything [it] can” into the West Bank, indicating that Iran will very likely attempt to pursue a different strategy when rebuilding Palestinian militias to fight Israel again.[1] Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said that Iran is looking for additional routes to …
Read More »Has MBS paved the way for Netanyahu to target Iran through a fictitious treaty compromising their oil deterrence?
Ever since Iran launched an unparalleled large-scale attack against Israel on 1 October, using a barrage of nearly 200 ballistic missiles, the Middle East has been holding its breath in anticipation of a swift and crushing Israeli retaliation. Iran said its long-awaited attack was in response to Israel’s assassinations of …
Read More »Russian Armed Forces Advance North of Ugledar, UAVs Reach Chechnya, Russian Mi-28 and Su-34 Lost. What Happened on the Front This Week
In today’s summary:Russian troops have made significant advances on the southern flank of the Pokrovsk direction and on the Ugledar salientUkrainian Armed Forces units defend on the left bank of the Oskol River and counterattack in Volchansk in the north of the Kharkiv regionIn the Kursk region, the Russian Armed …
Read More »A cushion without safety: the NWF’s liquid assets will last for several months in the event of a fall in oil prices
The Russian budget has been in deficit since the start of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, and the draft budget for 2025 also envisages a deficit of 1.1 trillion rubles (0.5% of GDP). For now, the hole is being covered by current borrowing, and the National Welfare Fund (NWF) account …
Read More »Ukraine’s Positions Deteriorate Across Front Lines; Russian Military Committing War Crimes – Analysis
Ukrainian Drones Strike Chechnya On October 29 Ukrainian combat drones attacked the Russian Special Forces University in the Russian Republic of Chechnya. The university, founded in 2013 and named after Russian President Vladimir Putin, is a private center for modern warfare training. The institution has close ties with current and …
Read More »Iraqi Kurdistan’s Parliamentary Elections: Resilience, Challenges, And US Policy Stakes – Analysis
The Kurdistan Region of Iraq finally held its long-overdue parliamentary elections on October 20, two years past the original due date. Final results announced by the Iraqi electoral commission on October 30 showed that the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) won 39 and 23 …
Read More »Countering The Russia–North Korea Alliance Requires A Policy Shift In Washington – Analysis
On 13 October, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said that North Korea was transferring people to the armed forces in Russia. A few days later, Ukrainian intelligence announced that the first North Korean military units had arrived in the war zone in Russia’s Kursk Oblast. Intelligence estimates suggest North Korea has …
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