Eurasia

What Does Regime Change in Syria Mean for Russian-Turkish Relations?

With the fall of Syria’s Moscow-supported regime, a large chunk of Russia’s leverage over Türkiye is gone. But Erdoğan will not take the risk of challenging Russia. Rather, he will continue acting as an intermediary between Putin and the West. Russia has reportedly asked Türkiye for assistance in withdrawing its …

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Russia Negotiating With New Syrian Government to Keep Military Bases

Latest Developments • Russia Negotiates To Keep Bases: Officials from Russia and representatives of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) — the Syrian rebel group that overthrew Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad last week — are conducting direct negotiations over whether Moscow can retain control over its two military bases in Syria, Russian …

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Assad’s Fall Upends Regional and Global Geopolitics

The collapse of the 54-year rule of the Assad family in Syria constitutes a significant setback to Iran’s decades-long strategy to forge an “Axis of Resistance” to confront Israel and deter U.S. military action against Iranian territory and signals a seismic shift in the Middle East’s political landscape. U.S., regional, …

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Al-Jolani’s ‘Road to Damascus’ Moment? The Public Relations Offensive of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham

In the ten-day offensive that ultimately toppled the 54-year rule of the Assad regime in Syria, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) carefully tailored its messaging not only to Syrians and rebel fighters but also to its adversaries, such as Iran and Russia, and the international community. HTS’s political affairs department has …

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Israel’s Biggest Enemy: How Netanyahu Is Thanked for Disabling Iran, Terrorist Groups

[Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu] has not earned the title “The Churchill of the Middle East” for nothing. What is lethal for the country is that the judges ruled that Netanyahu must appear in court three times a week for at least six consecutive hours each time. All this when …

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Syria ‘prioritising internal stability’ amid Israeli offensive

Syria’s new transitional government said it was prioritising state-building and stability over any response to recent Israeli attacks. Syria’s new transitional government is prioritising stabilising the country in the wake of the collapse of the Assad regime over responding to Israel’s ongoing offensive on Syrian military targets, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham’s …

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What’s Really Behind Israel’s “Shock & Awe” Campaign In Syria?

A confluence of interests explains its actions, but these same actions also have some unintended consequences. Israel carried out one of the largest attack operations in its history after launching nearly 500 strikes in post-Assad Syria, which has just been taken over by a group of “rebels” led by the …

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Hopes and Uncertainties in Syria

After the fast disintegration of the Assad regime, the difficult reconstruction of the Syrian state is only just beginning. Meanwhile, Europe, Israel, Russia, Türkiye, and the United States have major stakes in Syria’s complex future. Many Western leaders have expressed their relief at the collapse of the dictatorship of Syria’s …

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Anatomy of a Military Fall

Why did Bashar al-Assad’s armed forces fail to act, unlike those in Egypt, Libya, Algeria, and Sudan? A deluge of well-informed and credible commentary has accompanied the downfall of Syrian president Bashar al-Assad, explaining how and why his regime collapsed so quickly. But we do not yet have an adequate …

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Hayat Tahrir al Sham’s terror network in Syria

On December 8, 2024, rebel forces deposed the regime of Syria’s longtime dictator, Bashar al Assad, after the insurgents stormed through much of the country, retaking various regional capitals and culminating in the capture of Damascus itself. The majority of this offensive was led by Hayat Tahrir al Sham (HTS), …

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