This week as well, senior Iranian officials continued to threaten a harsh response to the killing of Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran. They stressed Iran’s right to attack Israel despite political messages to Tehran to refrain from a direct attack on Israel. At the same time, it seems that the Iranian …
Read More »Russia Is Being Drawn Deeper Into the Middle East Conflict
A steady flow of Russian weapons to Tehran could change the balance of power in the region, potentially triggering a response from the United States and Israel. The Middle East is experiencing a level of conflict unseen for decades. The spiral of escalation that began with the terrorist attacks against …
Read More »Iran is Creeping into the International Arms Market
As the Biden administration desperately tries to prevent or limit a missile and drone attack by Iran and its proxies against Israel, it would be wise to remember that the Middle East is already awash in Iranian projectiles. Recently, an Iranian artillery rocket fired by Lebanese Hezbollah killed twelve children …
Read More »China Is Now Goading Iran into Attacking Israel
As countries around the world pressure Iran not to strike Israel — Tehran blames the Jewish state for the bomb that killed Haniyeh on July 31 — China was, in effect, publicly goading Iran to act. Hamas is a proxy of Iran. Iran’s regime believes that it is no one’s …
Read More »Fake News Alert: Iran Isn’t Plotting To Strike Azerbaijan
Iran knows that NATO-member Turkiye is Azerbaijan’s mutual defense ally so a wider war could easily follow if Iran strikes Azerbaijan out of the misguided desire to de-escalate tensions with Israel. The Telegraph’s scandalous report on Friday alleging that “Iran’s new president battles revolutionary guard to stop all-out war with …
Read More »Iran Knows It Cannot Win a War against Israel
[T]he likelihood of Iran launching another attack against Israel in retaliation for Haniyeh’s assassination appears to be receding, not least because Tehran is well aware that, in any major military confrontation with Israel, it will inevitably be the loser. Israeli officials also believe that the initial assault will not originate …
Read More »Iran Update, August 10, 2024
Different elements of the Iranian regime have advocated for varying responses to Israel’s killing of Hamas Political Bureau Chairman Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran on July 31. The different messages across the regime are very likely emblematic of differences in opinion between different camps in the regime. The messages may also …
Read More »IntelBrief: Iran and Hezbollah Poised to Retaliate
Bottom Line Up Front Iran and its allies in the “Axis of Resistance” likely perceive recent Israeli attacks as an escalation designed to provoke a broader regional confrontation on Israel’s terms.Iran is likely to launch missiles and armed drones at Israel, aiming to cause extensive damage, in contrast to its …
Read More »Syria Today – Iran Issues Warning on Escalation; Government Forces Clash with SDF
Today’s news round on Syria highlights the ongoing and escalating violence within the region. Syrian officials issued a stern warning to Israel over potential escalations following a deadly strike in Majdal Shams, resulting in the deaths of a dozen children and teenagers. Additionally, a truck bomb in Azaz killed 10 …
Read More »Tehran’s Strategy: Leveraging Tribal and Clan Forces to Counter Washington East of the Euphrates
The recent attacks by “Tribal and Clan” forces on areas controlled by the SDF have reignited the debate about the nature and affiliations of these forces. Critics of the Autonomous Administration view these groups as Arab forces striving to liberate their territories from PKK control, denying any ties to Iran …
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