The Iran-Israel conflict confirmed a shift in the regional balance of power away from Iran, but might set the stage for further combat. U.S. and Israeli officials have defined a “new normal” in which either will take further military action if Iran tries to advance its nuclear program. Gulf and …
Read More »The “Resistance Axis” and the Israel-Iran War
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Read More »Iran Update, July 5, 2025
An unspecified high-ranking Iranian official cited by Amwaj Media on July 4 reported that Iran plans to resume indirect nuclear negotiations with the United States, but the conditions that Iran will reportedly present would require unspecified guarantees that the United States would not strike Iran.[1] Such a guarantee would be …
Read More »After this, can Iran’s Axis of Resistance ever make a comeback?
In the aftermath of US & Israeli strikes, Iran is at a crossroads. As well as a weakened ‘Axis of resistance’ the regime faces many internal challenges. The Iranian regime recently faced a critical reckoning. For 12 days, it operated in survival mode amid escalating conflict with Israel and, by …
Read More »Iran Update Special Report: Iraq after the Iran-Israel War, July 13 – July 3, 2025
Key Takeaway: Iranian-backed Iraqi Shia actors failed to mount a coordinated military and political campaign against the United States in response to the US and Israeli air campaign in Iran between July 12 and 24. Suspected Iranian-backed Iraqi militias launched multiple one-way attack drones attacks targeting US positions across Iraq, …
Read More »Iran Update, July 2, 2025
Key Takeaways Former President Hassan Rouhani is likely attempting to reenter Iran’s political scene by presenting the post-war crisis as a chance to reform governance, restore public trust, and recalibrate the regime’s trajectory. Rouhani’s efforts appear to have triggered concern among his longstanding hardline rivals. Rouhani may seek to work …
Read More »The US Aimed At Iran But Might Have Hit Central Asia – Analysis
The U.S. and Israeli attacks last month on Iran to “obliterate” its nuclear program may have hit another target: Central Asia’s interests in accesses the large Iranian market and use Iran’s transport links to trade with the wider world. Iran’s “Look East” policy was launched by then-President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in …
Read More »Operation Midnight Hammer: Were Iran’s Nuclear Facilities Damaged? – OpEd
The aftermath of Operation Midnight Hammer, a strike by the US Air Force on three nuclear facilities in Iran authorised by President Donald Trump on June 22, was raucous and triumphant. But that depended on what company you were keeping. The mission involved the bombing of the Fordow Fuel Enrichment …
Read More »Rafael Grossi, patron de l’AIEA, utilisé par les États-Unis et Israël pour lancer leur guerre contre l’Iran
Rafael Grossi, le directeur général de l’Agence international de l’Énergie atomique (AIEA) a permis que son agence soit instrumentalisée par les États-Unis et Israël – un État nucléaire non déclaré, en violation de longue date des règles de l’AIEA – pour fabriquer un prétexte leur permettant d’attaquer l’Iran, malgré que …
Read More »The IAEA’s MOSAIC weapon: Predictive espionage and the war on Iran
Ever since Israel launched its illegal war of aggression against Iran on 13 June, speculation has swirled around the role played by MOSAIC – a tool created by shadowy spy-tech firm Palantir. This software has been deeply embedded within the International Atomic Energy Agency’s (IAEA) operations, particularly its “safeguarding” mission: …
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