Sur l’échiquier changeant de la géopolitique mondiale, peu d’événements sont aussi importants et aussi peu médiatisés que l’émergence de deux corridors : le corridor de Zangezur et le corridor de David. Ces projets, qui s’étendent du sud du Caucase au nord de l’Irak, ne sont pas seulement des infrastructures : …
Read More »Does Trump’s Armenia-Azerbaijan trade corridor deal pave the way to peace?
At the end of a media briefing in New York last month, senior US official Tom Barrack slid in a reference to Washington controlling one of the most fraught pieces of land in the South Caucasus. “They’re arguing over 32km of road, but this is no joke,” Mr Barrack said. …
Read More »Armenia–Azerbaijan deal worries Iran
Washington brokered an agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan on August 8 aimed at opening a transit corridor through the South Caucasus. The new agreement replaces the original Zangezur Corridor plan with the “Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity” (TRIPP). Unlike the model preferred by Azerbaijan and Turkey, TRIPP will …
Read More »Den of thieves: Mapping organized crime in the South Caucasus
Criminal networks in the South Caucasus are expanding their reach across borders, exploiting both the region’s geographic position as a trade hub and its complex political environments. While in Azerbaijan, organized crime has largely been absorbed by the state apparatus, in Georgia and Armenia, criminal groups have been allowed to …
Read More »How Turkey Views Azerbaijan-Russia Tensions – Analysis
In recent days, relations between Azerbaijan and Russia have entered a new phase of unprecedented tension due to several incidents and shifting geopolitical dynamics in the South Caucasus. These tensions hold significant implications not only for Baku and Moscow, but also for Turkiye, a close ally of Azerbaijan and a …
Read More »Georgia: how democracy is being eroded fast as government shifts towards Russia
Georgia was once considered a post-Soviet success story. After years of authoritarian rule, followed by independence which brought near state collapse, corruption and chaos, Georgia appeared to have transitioned to democracy. In a period after independence in 1991 and before 2020, elections were regularly held and were deemed mostly free …
Read More »The Trump Administration’s South Caucasus Policy: Main Expectations – Analysis
Donald Trump’s re-election as U.S. President in 2024 sparked wide discussions regarding possible shifts in Washington’s foreign policy. It is worth noting that the three South Caucasus countries – Azerbaijan, Armenia, and Georgia – each have distinct expectations from the new administration. During Trump’s first term (2017-2021), the South Caucasus …
Read More »Kavkaz Investment Forum 2025: Geoeconomic Outlook
Executive Summary This report provides an analytical assessment of the North Caucasus Federal District (NCFD) based on developments presented at the Kavkaz Investment Forum 2025, recent macroeconomic data, and ongoing geopolitical dynamics. This analysis evaluates investment prospects, pinpoint sector-specific opportunities, and assesses the wider strategic ramifications of current regional economic …
Read More »Yerevan Dialogue and Iran’s Partnership with Armenia
Executive Summary This report examines Iran’s strategic posture in the South Caucasus following Deputy Foreign Minister Saeed Khatibzadeh’s remarks at the Yerevan Dialogue 2025 forum. Highlighting Tehran’s stance on regional stability, his address stressed the importance of an Armenian-Azerbaijani peace agreement and the Armenia-Iran corridor’s geopolitical significance. The analysis provides …
Read More »One Of Main Objectives of Azerbaijan’s Foreign Policy: Integration With Turkic World – Analysis
In the contemporary foreign policy strategy of the Republic of Azerbaijan, integration with the Turkic world holds a pivotal place. Strengthening ties with Turkic states and enhancing cooperation through common institutions has been identified as a strategic priority by the Azerbaijani leadership. Particularly following the restoration of territorial integrity in …
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