Middle Orient

How the war on Gaza is turning Israel into a pariah state

Earlier on in his premiership, Benjamin Netanyahu touted Israel’s diplomatic inroads across the Global South, especially throughout Africa, where countries have traditionally taken pro-Palestinian stances. The Israeli prime minister’s visits to Argentina, Brazil, Chad, China, Colombia, India, Mexico, and Oman were important from this standpoint. So were visits to Jerusalem …

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Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear sites could rely on US 14-tonne ‘bunker busters’

AnalysisMilitary analysts suggest the only bomb capable of piercing Iran’s targets would be the US-made GBU-57A/B Massive Ordnance Penetrator Israel lacks the capabilities to inflict major damage on Iran’s nuclear sites alone, but an escalation of the conflict could lead to US participation in attacks on Iran, analysts believe. Israeli …

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The Potential for a Dangerous Arms Race in the Middle East

As Israel continues to prepare its response to Iran’s missile barrage, one of the target sets could include Tehran’s nuclear infrastructure, including striking weaponization facilities, fuel enrichment plants, and/or research and development laboratories.In the event of a significant strike on Iran, the Supreme Leader may opt to pursue nuclear deterrence …

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Iraq’s Dollar Auction: The ‘Monster’ Funneling Billions to Fraudsters and Militants Through the U.S. Federal Reserve

A system set up to channel dollars from Iraqi oil sales to importers has been exploited by money launderers and militant groups for years. An OCCRP investigation shows how the fraud works in practice. Key Findings Al-Huda, an Iraqi bank whose owner was sanctioned after a drone attack on U.S. …

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On the Ground With Lebanon’s Displaced Population

Israel has created a humanitarian crisis for over 2 million people, but communities have stepped up to help … for now. As the conflict in Lebanon has intensified, a large number of people, mostly from the Shiite community, have been forced out of their villages, towns, or neighborhoods. Some 2.1 …

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Turkey Supports Russia and Hamas; The US Should Not Give It F-35 Fighter Jets

Recent discussions between Turkey and the United States indicate that the Biden administration is actively pursuing Ankara’s reinstatement in the F-35 program. It is difficult to justify why Washington would want to arm Turkey with these highly advanced fighter jets, when Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan takes fervent measures to …

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Understanding Gaza: Lessons for the “day after” and beyond

On Oct. 7, 2023, Hamas and other Gaza-based Palestinian armed groups launched a surprise attack on Israel’s southern border communities, killing 1,200 people and taking 251 hostages. In response, Israel retaliated by imposing a total closure of the territory and launching a massive air, sea, and land military campaign that, …

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Washington must make sure this is the last war between Israel and Lebanon

The assassination of Hezbollah’s secretary-general, Hassan Nasrallah, marks an inflection point that will redefine the security landscape of the Middle East. His deputy, Naim Qassem, has pledged “continued resistance,” claiming Hezbollah was steadfast and will not retreat, while Israel has pressed ahead with a ground invasion of southern Lebanon. The …

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The extraordinary risk of targeting regional energy assets

For nearly a year, the ongoing regional conflict, which started as a war between Israel and Hamas, seemed to contradict the old formula long thought to be one of the few certainties in global petroleum markets: that “war + Middle East = high oil prices.” While the conflict has taken …

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Understanding Nasrallah’s speech: How will Hezbollah avenge Shukr?

Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah spoke for the second time in seven days on August 6, commemorating one week since the assassination of the group’s military commander Fuad Shukr by Israel on July 30. Uncharacteristically calm, Nasrallah devoted much of his speech to covering the Lebanese group’s weaknesses exposed by the …

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