Iran’s Foreign Ministry warned Friday that the United States would bear “full responsibility for the consequences” if it intervenes in ongoing protests inside the country, escalating tensions as demonstrations continue. This follows Trump and Tehran’s top security official hurling warnings early Friday, escalating a crisis already marked by deadly clashes. …
Read More »After two catastrophic years, what awaits Palestine in 2026?
As Israel’s ceasefire violations continue in Gaza & expulsions escalate in the West Bank, Kamel Hawwash explains why he sees little hope for change in 2026. I am regularly asked for my view on what will happen in Palestine in 2026. While it is possible to speculate, it is difficult …
Read More »Yemen province launches ‘peaceful’ bid to take back military bases after STC advance
Yemen’s Hadramawt province is launching an operation to “peacefully” take back military sites after a sweeping advance by UAE-backed separatists, its governor said on Friday. Salem Al-Khanbashi made the announcement shortly after he was also appointed to lead the Saudi-supported National Shield forces in resource-rich Hadramawt, bordering Saudi Arabia. “This …
Read More »Can the Islamic State still become a spoiler in the new Syria?
In the most fatal attack against US troops in Syria so far this decade, an Islamic State (IS) gunman shot dead two US soldiers and a civilian American interpreter on 13 December. The deadly attack transpired amidst expanding US-Syrian military cooperation and Syria joining the US-led anti-IS coalition. It raises …
Read More »The key trends set to shape the Middle East in 2026
With the new year less than two weeks away, a range of geopolitical and security trends demand close attention. From the potential resumption of war between Israel and Iran to evolving dynamics in multiple hotspots, a host of unresolved variables is poised to shape the Middle East’s trajectory in 2026. …
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Post-deadline scenarios
Damascus and the SDF: Rescheduling March 10 or Escalation?
With the deadline for the March 10 agreement expiring at the end of 2025, its provisions remain on hold. Neither side has implemented any of them, and both have traded accusations over delays and obstruction in recent months, without reaching concrete steps to move the agreement forward Despite repeated meetings …
Read More »Iran Update, January 2, 2026
Toplines The rate and geographic scope of protests in Iran increased on January 1 and 2. ISW-CTP recorded 56 protests on January 1 and 70 protests on January 2, compared to 31 protests on December 31.[1] Protests took place in 17 out of Iran’s 31 provinces between December 28 and …
Read More »Israeli army deploys ultra-Orthodox Haredi brigade in southern Syria
The Israeli army announced today, Thursday 1 January, the deployment of forces from the “Hasmonean Brigade” in the security zone in southern Syria, marking the first time the brigade has been stationed in the area. The Israeli army said the brigade’s infantry forces carried out field activities after a series …
Read More »Spotlight on Iran and the
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Read More »Separatist Group Jaish Al-Adl Rebrands As Wider Iranian Opposition
The Sunni militant group Jaish al-Adl says it has joined forces with several smaller Baluch paramilitary groups to form a new coalition targeting Iran’s clerical establishment. In a video statement released on social media platforms, an unidentified spokesman said the new group would be called the Popular Resistance Front and …
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