Geopolitical forecasting is an imperfect art. Throughout the Cold War, the Soviets confidently asserted to the end that the forces of socialism would prevail over the decadent and corrupt capitalist model. The “correlation of forces” (PDF) always seemed to be turning their way, until it wasn’t. For their part, American …

President Vladimir Putin of Russia appeared to double-down today on his country’s war effort in Ukraine, calling up hundreds of thousands of new troops, threatening Ukraine and the West, vowing to use “all the means at our disposal,” and pointing out that he is not bluffing. Putin’s remarks were met …

Hayat Tahrir al-Sham used violence to break up a caravan that was heading toward Syria’s Bab al-Hawa border to cross into Turkey. Security officers affiliated with Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) assaulted several journalists who were covering a gathering of civilians near Bab al-Hawa crossing with Turkey in the north. According …