Recent Posts

The Real Limits of Ukrainian Power

It should not have been a surprise that the August 15 summit in Alaska between Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Donald Trump failed to end Russia’s war in Ukraine. It had long been clear that Putin was not prepared to offer any terms that would allow a credible …

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The Path to a Good-Enough Iran Deal: How Washington and Tehran Can Bridge the Gap on Enrichment

It is not clear whether the recent Israeli and U.S. military strikes have decreased or increased the likelihood of a nuclear-armed Iran. The attacks have certainly inflicted major damage to the country’s nuclear program. But they have not extinguished the Islamic Republic’s interest in nuclear weapons. They have amplified uncertainty …

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Iran Update, August 26, 2025

The Lebanese government will reportedly attempt to persuade rather than coerce Hezbollah to disarm. Hezbollah is unlikely to disarm on its own accord and has historically evaded previous disarmament efforts. US Special Envoy Thomas Barrack said that the Lebanese government will focus on persuasion to encourage Hezbollah disarmament after his …

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