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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 12, 2026

Toplines Russian forces may launch an Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) at Ukraine in the next 24 to 48 hours. The Ukrainian Air Force warned on June 12 that there is a “high probability” that Russian forces will launch an unspecified IRBM from the Kapustin Yar missile launch site in …

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Iran Update Special Report, June 12, 2026

Key Takeaways Persistent internal disagreements remain among Iranian regime leaders over the concessions that the regime should accept in negotiations with the United States. Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) Commander Major General Ahmad Vahidi and his inner circle appear to continue to seek an agreement that meets Iranian maximalist demands …

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