Recent Posts

Possible Implications if the Houthis Enter the War

Bottom Line Up Front Should the Houthis in Yemen enter the war, they could serve as a force multiplier for Tehran by further depleting U.S. and Israeli air and missile defenses and diverting combat missions from Iran to sites in Yemen. The Houthis would likely target oil tankers in the …

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Misplaced Assumptions Have Plagued U.S. War Efforts Against Iran

Bottom Line Up Front There are myriad assumptions by the Trump administration that have proven faulty thus far and have contributed to the devastation wrought by this conflict to date. In addition to misplaced assumptions, Washington’s strategic communications have hampered the military campaign. Tehran recognizes that it will not be …

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Trump’s oil sanctions pause is a gift to Russia

The Trump administration’s decision this week to suspend sanctions on Russian oil at sea should be seen in uncomplicated terms for what it is: a disaster. While it has had little discernible impact on the price of oil on the international market, it will damage the efficacy of Russian sanctions …

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