Recent Posts

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 30, 2025

Toplines Russia and Belarus may conduct special forces sabotage operations against critical infrastructure in Poland and launch additional drone incursions and blame Ukraine. Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) baselessly claimed on September 30 that Ukraine is preparing to conduct a false flag attack against critical Polish infrastructure in order to …

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Is the Baghdad-Erbil oil deal a blueprint for settlement—or a stopgap?

After nearly two and a half years, a fragile but consequential agreement between Iraq’s federal government in Baghdad, the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) in Erbil, the seven major Oil Companies (IOC), and a local Kurdish oil company has resumed oil exports through the Iraqi-Turkey Pipeline (ITP) to the international market. …

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