Moscow has little to gain from a major flare-up in the Red Sea, which means Washington’s efforts to stop Houthi attacks on shipping are likely to be quietly welcomed. Predictably, Russia has been deeply critical of strikes by the United States and the United Kingdom against Yemen’s Houthi militia, which …
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Putin’s Achilles Heel: Ukraine targets Russia’s vital but vulnerable energy industry
Ukrainian drones struck a major oil refinery in southern Russia early on January 25, sparking a blaze that highlighted an emerging new front in the war unleashed by Vladimir Putin almost two years ago. The incident was the latest in a series of recent attacks on Russian energy infrastructure as …
Read More »Germany’s Paralysis Holds Back Europe
Past German governments have relied on Russian gas and the U.S. security umbrella. With Putin’s war in Ukraine and the prospects of a Trump presidency, Berlin needs a strategic mindset to lead Europe. When the German economy was in full swing, the government of the day rarely matched its economic …
Read More »Is Moldova Ready to Pay the Price of Reintegrating Transnistria?
Not only will reabsorbing the breakaway region be expensive and complicated, but Russia is unlikely to cede its influence without a fight.Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine initially sparked fear in Moldova. But when Moscow’s troops failed to reach the pro-Russian breakaway region of Transnistria, anxiety gave way to confidence. Moldova …
Read More »The Eastern Maritime Corridor Is Shaping Up To Be The Next Big Thing In Russo-Indo Relations
The Kremlin’s intentions in building the “Russo-Indo Ring” around the Asian half of Eurasia are to promote friendly, gentle, and non-hostile Sino-Indo geo-economic competition aimed at accelerating equitable development and multipolar integration in this space. The inaugural Russia-India workshop for Operationalization of the Eastern Maritime Corridor (EMC) took place in …
Read More »Why the War in Gaza Makes a Nuclear Iran More Likely
The Conflict Has Empowered Tehran—but Also Fueled Its Sense of Vulnerability Since the start of the war in the Gaza Strip, Iran’s government has sounded bullish, even triumphalist notes. “The Zionist regime’s defeat in this event is not just the defeat of the Zionist regime,” contended Iranian Supreme Leader Ali …
Read More »Ukraine Is Losing the Drone War
How Kyiv Can Close the Innovation Gap With Russia It’s winter in Ukraine again. The snow is piling up, the temperature is dropping, and the days are short. During the long nights, nearly two years into the full-scale war, the skies above the entire 600-mile frontline are filled with Ukrainian …
Read More »The Dangers of Losing Focus on Russia’s War Against Ukraine
What seemed at first to be the start of a Third World War has turned out to be more akin to a Second Yugoslav War: a horrible conflict on the eastern edge of Europe triggered by a slow-motion imperial collapse with lasting global ramifications. Throughout 2022, Europe was in shock. …
Read More »Landmark Armenia-Azerbaijan Peace Treaty Inches Closer
Despite their bloody history and repeated recent disappointments, a long-term accommodation between Armenia and Azerbaijan is within reach. Recent hopes that a peace agreement between the South Caucasus nations of Armenia and Azerbaijan could be achieved have come to nothing. In late 2023, some believed such a historic step was …
Read More »Is Moldova Ready to Pay the Price of Reintegrating Transnistria?
Not only will reabsorbing the breakaway region be expensive and complicated, but Russia is unlikely to cede its influence without a fight. Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine initially sparked fear in Moldova. But when Moscow’s troops failed to reach the pro-Russian breakaway region of Transnistria, anxiety gave way to confidence. …
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