Saudi leader Mohammed bin Salman said that a normalization deal with Israel is getting “closer” as the negotiations continue on a Saudi civilian nuclear program. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman warned on Wednesday that if Iran acquires nuclear weapons, “we have to get one,” in the most direct public …
Read More »Blog Layout
The Russian invasion was a rational act
It is widely believed in the West that Russian president Vladimir Putin’s decision to invade Ukraine was not a rational act. On the eve of the invasion, then British prime minister Boris Johnson suggested that perhaps the United States and its allies had not done “enough to deter an irrational …
Read More »The Tragedy of Volodymyr Zelensky
In December 2022, Time magazine named the Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky its Person of the Year. The reasons seemed obvious: When Russia invaded in February of that year, few thought that Ukraine would survive more than a week, or that its president would remain at his post in Kyiv. But …
Read More »Nagorno-Karabakh conflict: How Azerbaijan forced Armenia to back down
The Armenian separatist forces in Nagorno-Karabakh on Wednesday agreed to lay down their weapons following Azerbaijan’s lightning offensive in the Armenian-majority enclave. Between Moscow’s weakening position in the Caucasus and the West’s dependence on hydrocarbons, Azerbaijan has taken advantage of a favourable international context to complete a decades-long mission to …
Read More »Judy Asks: Can the EU Be a Global Player?
Despite its regulatory and market power, the EU does not live up to its foreign policy potential. Its ability to exert influence largely depends on member states’ political dynamics and appetite for further integration. Lizza Bomassi – Deputy director of Carnegie Europe Yes, it can, and it certainly has the …
Read More »The West Is Losing Ground in Multilateral Fora
By refusing to openly condemn Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, G20 leaders exposed the divisions in and limits of multilateral institutions. Russia and China are the beneficiaries. They worked well after 1945, when so many countries were trying to recover from the destruction wreaked by World War II. The United States …
Read More »Germany’s Missing Russia Strategy
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has hardly changed the foreign-policy mindset in Berlin. Only a robust, long-term containment strategy can help the West curb Russia’s expansionist ambitions. Has Russia’s war against Ukraine fundamentally changed the thinking of policymakers in Berlin? Have they really understood that in the future European security must …
Read More »Prigozhin’s Death Shows Ultra-Patriots Are No Threat to the Kremlin
Russia’s ultra-patriots are not a cohesive force. They are a motley collection of amateur groups that coalesce around leaders who are ambitious, jealous, and incapable of working with each other.The late mercenary leader Yevgeny Prigozhin was until recently considered a leading Russian politician—with some even believing he could be a …
Read More »Putin Is Betting On a New Class of Asset Owners to Shore Up His Regime
In the absence of foreign investors, lucrative assets in Russia can be given for safekeeping to anyone who is “one of us.” Those people will owe their wealth to Putin personally, making them directly dependent on the Kremlin to preserve that wealth.Russia’s elites are unhappy about many things, not least …
Read More »Russia’s Growing Ties With Afghanistan Are More Symbolism Than Substance
As Russia’s relationship with the West has deteriorated, the Kremlin’s view of the Taliban has changed. But substantive economic cooperation will be hard to achieve.Russia is one of just a handful of states in the world actively seeking to strengthen its relationship with the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan. While Afghanistan’s …
Read More »