A Trump Win Would Cause a Crisis for Kyiv—but Wouldn’t Guarantee Defeat Having a strategy—a theory of victory—is essential to winning a war. In 2022, Russia’s initial plan to capture Kyiv and decapitate Ukraine’s leadership failed, and its current approach of grinding down Ukraine’s resistance through attritional war is just …

In light of the significant losses suffered by Hezbollah and the escalating concerns in Tehran regarding a potentially unpredictable Israeli attack, the regime’s current strategy appears to be one of damage control. Iran believes that so long as there remains a foundation to build upon, it can eventually reestablish its …

In a world where American adversaries across the globe are deepening their strategic partnerships to undermine U.S. power and influence, Michael Singh correctly highlights the need to integrate America’s Middle East policy into an overarching U.S. grand strategy. China today is in a stronger position in the Middle East than …

As the conflict with Israel escalates, the path forward for the party is one fraught with obstacles. As Hezbollah’s conflict with Israel escalates, the party is in a bind. Its capacity to maintain its deterrence capacity vis-a-vis Israel has been severely constrained by its unwillingness to provoke an all-out war …

Dans un contexte de tension, il est difficile de comprendre ce qui se passe réellement. L’anxiété ne mène nulle part. Ce qui est pertinent, c’est de prendre une grande inspiration et d’observer les événements pour saisir leur nature, leur cause, leur mode d’apparition et leur trajectoire future. L’ennemi n’a pas …

The United States is sending a small number of additional troops to the Middle East following a sharp spike in violence between Israel and Hezbollah forces in Lebanon, Pentagon press secretary Major General Pat Ryder said on Monday. Ryder did not provide further details on the number of forces or …

In September 1999, Moscow and the whole of Russia were shaken by a series of deadly explosions that marked the beginning of a still ongoing era of autocratic degradation under the rule of Russian President Vladimir Putin. The perpetrators of those crimes were never prosecuted beyond reasonable doubt. There is …

America has a limited window of opportunity in its rivalry with China. To exploit this, expanded export controls can be used to slow Chinese innovation. Time is therefore a strategic pillar of technology containment. It enables the sequenced implementation of actions, such as imposing export controls and pressuring allies. In …

On September 17, thousands of Hezbollah operatives’ pagers exploded, killing at least 10 and injuring many more. Below is Senior Fellow Michael Doran’s analysis of this unprecedented attack, which he named Operation Grim Beeper. Operational ComplexityThis is one of the most astonishing intelligence operations in history. It is a reworking …

The intensifying operations between Israel and Lebanese Hezbollah are part of the broader war that Israel has fought since October 7, 2023. Hezbollah has conducted almost daily attacks into Israel since the war began in order to compel Israel to accept defeat in the Gaza Strip and thus preserve Hamas.[1] …