Trump s’est mis lui-même au pied du mur avec cet ultimatum. S’il recule, son prestige s’effondrera à jamais. S’il met sa menace à exécution, il plongera le Golfe dans les ténèbres & l’assèchement. Trump donne 48 heures à Téhéran pour ouvrir le détroit d’Ormuz, et l’Axe riposte par une menace …

Key TakeawaysIran launched two ballistic missiles targeting the US-UK base at Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean on March 21, marking the furthest ever attempted Iranian missile strike. The attack demonstrated that Iranian missiles can reach beyond the 2,000-kilometer limit that the regime has long claimed to have self-imposed. One …

Toplines Russian forces have likely begun their anticipated Spring-Summer 2026 offensive against the Ukrainian Fortress Belt, Ukraine’s main defensive line in Donetsk Oblast. Russian forces have begun intensified ground operations in the Lyman direction to advance on Slovyansk, the northern tip of the Fortress Belt, from the northeast, likely to …

Even a cursory glance at current U.S. foreign policy priorities reveals a wide range of challenges, from Venezuela to Ukraine to Gaza. The rise of China and a revanchist Russia also pose significant threats, while other near-peer adversaries, including Iran and North Korea, continue to destabilize important global regions. Meanwhile, …

Joe Kent, the director of the National Counterterrorism Center, abruptly resigned Tuesday, becoming the most senior national security official to break publicly with the Trump administration over its military campaign against Iran. In a statement posted on social media, Kent said he “cannot in good conscience” continue serving in the …

Last night, Israeli officials announced that Ali Larijani — head of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council — and Gholamreza Soleimani — head of Iran’s Basij militia — were killed in separate overnight strikes.With strikes targeting the Basij and its leaders, the regime faces the prospect of the Persian New Year …

Bottom Line Up Front Should the Houthis in Yemen enter the war, they could serve as a force multiplier for Tehran by further depleting U.S. and Israeli air and missile defenses and diverting combat missions from Iran to sites in Yemen. The Houthis would likely target oil tankers in the …

Bottom Line Up Front There are myriad assumptions by the Trump administration that have proven faulty thus far and have contributed to the devastation wrought by this conflict to date. In addition to misplaced assumptions, Washington’s strategic communications have hampered the military campaign. Tehran recognizes that it will not be …

The Trump administration’s decision this week to suspend sanctions on Russian oil at sea should be seen in uncomplicated terms for what it is: a disaster. While it has had little discernible impact on the price of oil on the international market, it will damage the efficacy of Russian sanctions …

The Eastern Mediterranean rarely remains insulated from turbulence in the Middle East. Yet, the events of early March 2026 marked an unusual escalation: a drone strike targeting the British air base at RAF Akrotiri, on the southern coast of Cyprus, brought the island directly into the operational environment of the …